Posted July 14, 2016
flubbucket: What is a "confirmed" town?? And what is to be done with the potential for that player to become cult the following Day??
A pool of confirmed players seems an unlikely and undependable possibility.
Ixamyakxim: Confirmed long term yes. But again we're still early in the game, and for one day I don't mind making assumptions. I'm biased so here are my assumptions: A pool of confirmed players seems an unlikely and undependable possibility.
I don't feel bad, for just today, assuming Bookwyrm really is the deprogrammer. Thereby I'd like to know the townie he found last night. I also don't mind assuming cult wouldn't have wasted their conversion on Dessimu last night (though they'd be silly not to convert him in the next day or two - sorry Dess!).
So with myself there's a voting block I feel really strongly about for today. Other assumptions - right now we're at a really unique point in mafia games - we can get a really good idea of who, for the moment, is town. We can really "pare down" the potential lynch candidates for today.
Come LATER days, that's going to get harder and harder which is why it's very important to do now. So, here's my "no vote" list for today: Me (LOL), Dessimu, Bookwyrm, Bookwyrm's townie.
Ironically, as time goes on (ESPECIALLY without a better confirm on Wyrm) that list will become my MOST suspected list because cult CAN'T let known townies persist.
Vote flubb for consistently trying to obscure the value of learning a short term townie block by trying to equate it to what's going to happen in later days.
Still worry about drealmer and I will RADICALLY alter my view on Bookwyrm if I think he's using this deprogrammer "role" more as protection / manipulation than to help town.
The big danger in cult games is assumption. Ixamyakxim was town last round as well as Dessimu and Bookwyrm627. So this round two of those three must??? be town.
Natural Action Resolution puts Killing before Recruiting.
It's possible Dessimu could have been Vigilante last Night and woke up cult.
Therefore, assuming any player is anything (outside of deprogrammer) is unsafe. Why do you think Krypsyn HATES cult games so much??
/refresh......seven minutes after agentcarr16, so I'm safe.