Once again the forum ate my reply ... Wonder what is up with that :)
wpegg: Definitely a scam. No money goes in, no goods or services generated - none can come out. This is a slant on a pyramid scheme in that the people that put into it are then rewarded by the other people putting into it and then think the currency is worth something. At the end of the day, it cannot resolve to anything. If you closed the BitCoin how much would then be resolved back into solid currency and paid out? I suspect none to negative.
If you start considering BTC a currency, the view should change drastically. For a common US Dollar to be created, no money goes in, no goods or services are generated, none can come out.
If I own a BTC now and you get a new BTC tomorrow, I don't suddenly have more BTC then. A pyramid scheme, this is not.
There is a bootstrap problem of course -- the more people use BitCoin, the more useful it becomes. This is pretty much the same as the EUR or USD -- I cannot pay with Euro at a US gas station, so it is essentially worthless there. I can pay with USD at many a Mexico gas station, though.
If everybody on the BTC network decided in unison from one day to the next to "shut down" BTC then yes, the numbers don't mean much. This is akin to other currencies, too. There is no central flipswitch though. Everybody has to decide that they do not value BTC anymore at the same time.
I'd be interested to know why exactly you think it is a scam, and who stands to benefit (excepting currency exchange arbitration, which works the same as with any other currency -- the exchanges make their money on the transaction fees, not the value of the currency in question.)
This also serves as a response to DelusionsBeta. Exchange operators do not set the exchange rate. It is governed by what value people using BTC assign to BTC. "Leaving your computer on" is not exactly free, especially with a high-powered graphics-card doing calculations.
BTC may be doomed to fail -- I happen to think it is not. Either way it goes is not material to GoG's success though -- if they at some future point in time cannot get USD for BTC, they can flip a switch and disable BTC payments. I happen to think that the net positive for GoG would still vastly outweigh the risks.
I can get a bunch of goods and services for BTC right now -- and I can donate to a bunch of organizations (amongst them the EFF and the DosBox team -- so if you want to support DosBox development further, you can donate your "worthless" BTC to DosBox too. I am sure they'll appreciate them nonetheless).
orcishgamer: What you're looking for is called futures. You can trade them if you want (it's a zero sum game, mostly), you'll likely loose a lot of money, but there's a level of definition there as far as a currency goes. I actually don't recommend the average person trade futures, but they make more sense than stock or Bitcoins.
We value things differently then. But yes, futures have a more traditional definition to them.
Thing is, you can't do micropayments with futures. And by the time you have set up a viable futures trading platform, you will be out considerable sums in fees to your banking organization of choice -- before even being able to realize a profit. You could probably trade BitCoin futures though :P