Posted May 26, 2011
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Nice to fantasize about that, but this game was never going to be that embraced by the mainstream public. It would need wide reaching casual appeal. Its a brilliant game, but it's just too quirky and challenging for those kind of numbers. Single player crpgs are a niche genre, and TW2 is a niche rpg. I think if the game does a third of that, CDPR would be ecstatic.
Now, throw in eventual console sales, and thats a different story maybe. Hope Im wrong.
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But according to that list, the biggest CRPG seller is Diablo 2 at 4 mil (quibbling about its "RPG" credentials aside). Theres no way TW2 has Diablo 2 reach.
Next is DA:O , which the list indicates may be contaminated by console sales number, at 3.x mil.
And then theres a big droppoff, with storied games like BG1&2 , that have been selling for a decade now, and NWN only at 2 Mil. We've always known that CRPGs arent as big a seller as other genres.
Tw2 would have to be a runaway success...a phenomenon...to reach something like 4 mil PC sales. And based on how many people are already resistant to the challenge level, and the Mature content rather than the mass market friendly T rating, I don see any reasonable expectation of that happening. Not on the PC alone, but eventual console sales will be a different story.
But it certainly deserves that kind of success, and I hope Im wrong. I think it will be a very successful game regardless for CDPR, especially given the modest budget by triple A standards.
Post edited May 26, 2011 by Cyjack