Aww, everyone else <3 you too!

Usually I do like to push wagons and tend to be a bit "bouncy" with my votes.

But we had several players fairly close in vote count and we were deep in Phase 2. I'm willing to risk lynching a townie, because that's just what we do - especially day one. I'm not willing to accidentally risk lynching two townies because we can't make a decision and then have a night kill on top of that. So no, I was not about to start moving my vote.

On that note, before we do hit Phase Two

Vote HSL

That's a good reason for not moving your vote, but I was more curious about the fact you didn't even make another appearance in the thread until Day 2 (ok there's one more post shortly after the Joe vote, but then nothing between then and you showing back up today).

Who?

Kk, thanks for clarification.

Definitely. It's all in the intonation.

Seriously though, yes there's a difference.

"Heh" is simply "hey, look at that."

"Hrm" is "I don't like that much."

I really don't have the time to do this, lol, but I'm doing it anyways.

Consider my theorizing in post 176.

So instead of looking at the wagon, let's look at everyone who didn't feel the need to get on the wagon.

So at the end of Day 1, the votecount was:

agent 2 - cristi (65), Town
ZFR 2 - SirP (122), muddy (160)
Town 6 - flubb (129), Ixam (156), bler (165), agent (178), ZFR (204), P1na (223)
P1na 2 - HSL (24), Town

At the end of the day, we had cristigale, SirPrimalform, muddysneakers, and HypersomniacLive on trains other than JoeSapphire.

What did they have to say about JoeSapphire during Day 1?

HypersomniacLive

Fair enough that you don't think he's going to flip mafia. But how is there already being plenty of people on his wagon a good decision to not get on his wagon? If you don't want to lynch him, fair enough. If you just don't want to get on his wagon, that's a bit suspicious.


muddysneakers

Good reason to not be on the wagon. :thumbsup:


SirPrimalform

And he doesn't interact much with JoeSapphire after that. Sooo... null read.


cristigale

So by process of elimination, you think Joe is likely to be scum. Yet right to the end of the day, you had your vote on me, despite reading me as null.

I actually don't like that much at all. It kind of looks like scum wanting to stay off a wagon. Why wouldn't you vote for someone you found more suspicious?


Everything here is a little WIFOMy, of course, since I had to lay out my reasoning in the middle of Day 1. But I think it's still something to think about.

Sometime later I'll look at those who got on the wagon. Also, I need to revisit my scum/town reads. Class now, though.

Sorry people, I've had a fairly busy couple of days from which my mind ended up exhausted and I haven't been keeping up with the game. I'll see if I can catch up later today, or more probably tomorrow morning while I'm waiting for the business call in question.

to think I posted early to kid around and I don't even have the presence of mind to do just that... my apologies.

Paranoid is not something I've caught wind of in his posts but I'm not too keen. However I do get the feeling he's keeping himself very safe in his posts. Painting in very broad strokes.

And for the record, I see you and bler144 buddying like the mutual admiration society.

Ok, I'm going to try and catch up now. Again, apologies for my absence.

No one else has? I'm voting for flub.

Ok, got it. Still, it's the only thing I've done "today", so please notice me, sempai.

We have to disagree there, I do like it when it's convenient for, well, me. It's quite convenient.

Thank you!

Not thinking it through does sound like me, actually. But, maybe I'm a master manipulator that wants you to think that! In the end, even if I talk against myself, doing stuff that goes agaisnt what mafia would do so you aren't suspected as mafia should be a rather basic move on this game, no? Still, I personally never felt you were in real danger of getting lynched yesterday. I may quite feel the pressure when switching my vote to make a wagon stand out, like with SPF earlier; but your votes barely rivaled Joe's and that's counting my own joke one.

I like reading your theory because it theorizes about what I must have been thinking, and since I know a thing or two about the topic, it helps me read you. Too tired to make any concrete theories about what it means, but I do feel like you're a bit overly paranoid about that double lynch.

Anyway, I caught up. Not much to say though, I think I'll stick with my vote for the time being, as I don't feel the situation changed much on that front. I will make the effort to answer if I'm quoted at least. I have an important work meeting tomorrow and hopefully things will calm down a bit after that.

Also, I seem to have caused a very town impression. I'm kinda happy with that, but please someone pretend to suspect me. I have the impression that being the towniest would get me nightkilled by mafia.

Oh no, my chastity!!

Don't follow, what allegations?



Calling you out != repeating it. Try harder.


So, your argument then for voting a lurker will be "Hey, I'm voting this player for their lurking isn't as good as mine"?

Also nice to see you're answering questions very selectively.



I'd like to think that there isn't, but perhaps there is, and I'm not aware of it (yet?).

Having said that, I find your question a bit... odd.



The two are not related, certainly not in the way you read it.

You theorised into a specific direction because of the different lynch mechanic in your post #176. And hopped on JoeSapphire's wagon two posts later.
But it's equally likely that scum will act into the opposite direction, more so on D1, exactly because of the different lynch mechanic, and the possible implications of being off wagon (more so than usual), so I'm keeping it firmly in mind when looking at the votes and wagons progression, and hence my:

which follows something I had said earlier in the same post, namely:

So, I didn't think he'd flip mafia, hence I didn't vote him because I didn't want to lynch him, and at the same time made a comment on how the L-1 status of a wagon I didn't like looked to me.


(*＾-‘) 乃

Can you clarify this for me? What would Joe claim? That he was town? That's what everyone is doing. Or claim a PR or neutral status? Wouldn't that be scummy? Not sure what you wanted him to claim when he was VT.

I've been thinking about this and I'm not sure I agree with either of you. Yes scum would like a double lynch but if I was scum I think I would be hyper-sensitive to the possibility (assuming I read the rules) that the people on the two wagons (likely totaling 6 or maybe 8) would be getting a lot of extra scrutiny. Possibly even cutting the pool in half. Even if scum places a vote and leaves and uses the I wasn't here so I didn't know there was a double lynch I think the present players would be quite alarmed at the possibility and one or more would change their vote last minute to avoid it. The more I think about it the more I think there is almost no possibility for scum to luck into a double lynch. They would need to plant the seed and get buy in from a lot of town/neutral players for it to happen. Anyone pushing for and voting for a double lynch against the will of the rest of the players would get lynched themselves even if they claimed town. I just don't see it.

The allegation there are neutrals in this game.

So...the bad news is that at this point in the day this looks less like D2 and more like D1 2.0.

Not letting myself off the hook there. It just is. Voting now it would be Ix or ZFR - the latter seems more valuable in terms of potentially assessing D1. Will try and get through other reads tonight but getting a late start due to RL.



nothing is both immutable and eternal.

I'm curious. 1) You're town reading P1na on tone despite not having <done> much. Imo SPF has good tone despite not having done much besides tunneling ZFR and a bit of fiddling with Joe. What do you see as the difference there in tone? Just the purely unfakeable day opener?

2) If your premise is ZFR vs. SPF points to maf (or did you just mean non-town?), what do you recall of ZFR other than defending his Joe vote? Did you re-read both?

As to your other question, prior to game #53, I would have said yes. After game 53, hard to say. Of the three players I'd say I usually read well, both HSL (town) and Wyrm (null then vacillated) were off, but hard to say how telling given the sub situation. So, optimistic, but not convinced, no.

Because...B might be a more natural vote for that player? Maybe they want to see a claim. And/or just staying off might be more suspicious. Might not get you lynched but it might get you copped...which might get you lynched.

You're right they could, but since you probably won't "know" til after the fact, I'm not sure where you're going with this.


My fault, I didn't understand what you were arguing. My original question, though, was where does maf!SPF leeeead you. Maf flipping will always make 1-2 players more towny. That's great, but if SPF is maf, who looks maf with him, since M>1, presumably.

I'm presuming now you're going to say me. ;)

Plus, you're right that SPF and flub becomes more unlikely, but that's why it's WIFOM.

Long story, but she's talking deeeep paranoia. He was so flipped out he refused to relay information on his night action back to his own team because he thought it was all a trick and they were going to betray him ...for reasons no one else still understands. Ironically, they won a perfect victory despite never figuring out how to get an NK.

If it hadn't been an all-maf game he would have been lynched by D2-D3 imo, as it was pretty apparent, but the yogs coalition was too busy cleaning up other obvious mis-steps chaining off one another (P1na, leonard, adalia) and by D4 his team controlled the vote enough to prevent it.

Other funny Ix stories (like the time he used his town protective power to try to investigate a claimed town paranoid barn/gun owner - and yes, you read that right - it was partly the mod's fault though), but not the time for it, probably.

lol - I had to go back to the quote to see where this came from, but that's pretty funny.

Ok tigger, why HSL?


Well me, obviously. Also SPF. He seems to have picked the humor up a notch again, presumably in the interests of wolf-hunting.

P1na
Flub (a la posts 23 - 132 are still mostly jokey, and then the tone shifts)


....
And HSL tells a mean knock-knock joke.


Fwiw, (probably not much) last game we played together (t/t) I hard town read her I think by mid D1, and then screamed bloody murder that she shouldn't be the lynch.

I am eyeing two other faint whiffs of players buddying me, but it's not cristi.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nW9Cu6GYqxo

/eyebrowraise at all of that



I did enjoy the jokes tho. ;)


2. I can't find it since I was concerned about my mental state since that really doesn't sound like anything I would ever say outside of very specific game contexts, but I suspect what I said is that you're lucky that other regulars who consider it a mortal sin aren't playing this game, but for me it's not inherently eyebrow worthy. But not particularly relevant atm.

Also, generally once a few players have commented on something like that you won't get other answers because other players either just don't care to start or feel it's been adequately addressed.

3. I'm still not sure I follow this beyond that you don't think agent/flub are w/w together, but both suspicious for...something. I'll have to go find your explanation for your vote.


<In general> VT should still claim their role at L-1 or whatever seems appropriate vis-a-vis deadline, even if it is just VT, and no VT should never directly claim town PR ever. Saying "I am the parity cop!" as VT only pushes the actual one to either counter-claim (thus reveal unnecessarily and get NKed that night almost certainly) or waste a night investigating a VT.

Whether it's scummy or not, it's just inherently bad for your team tactically.

Not claiming looks suspicious, though if you're bold/good enough, in some setups you can hint at a PR, try to force no lynch by staying under maj, and sucking up NK or maf PR potentially. But in this setup that probably doesn't get you anywhere.

That said, Joe had access issues apparently, and we have a semi-random deadline, so only he knows when he would have intended to claim given how he viewed the gamestate.

lol?