I'm way past your vote on BlueMooner. If you hadn't replied to HijacK the way you did, I wouldn't have questioned you further.
But anyway, we're at a different point now.


OK, let’s see what we have so far:
(A) There’s been one NK each Night so far.
(B) yogsloth said he felt something like a role-block on N1.
(C) According to trentonlf (posts #1066 and #1075) there’s a scum role-restrictor.

What are the possible scenarios here?
Case #1: We have one mafia team
(1.1) We still have three scum left, assuming that they can’t use any power they have and perform the NK.
(1.2) We have two scum left, assuming that they can use any abilities they have and perform the NK.
I don’t remember what RWarehall’s stance is on the matter of total number of scum, but given that we already lynched two scum, I find (1.1) quite unlikely as that would put the total number of scum to five.
Which brings us to (1.2) - would our mod give scum the flexibility/power to function in the manner of (1.2)?
If the answer is yes, then we’re pretty screwed, as scum will always be one step ahead of town, especially as our numbers decrease with every NK.
If the answer is no, then one of (A) – (C) can’t be true, and the most likely to be false is (C).

Case #2: We have two mafia teams
(2.1) They can’t NK at the same night, or they have chosen the same target so far (has happened in a previous game with two mafia teams).
There doesn’t seem to be any evidence so far supporting the existence of two mafia teams, and given that the whole restriction business imposed on town is a complicating enough factor, I’m leaning towards having one mafia team.

Case #3: We have one mafia team and at least one third-party
(3.1) The NKs have been performed by either scum or the third-party. If the latter, what have scum been doing for two Nights?
(3.2) Scum and the third-party alternate in doing the NKs, and (B) and (C). That would require some sort of collaboration though in order to produce results that throw off town.
(3.3) The third-party is responsible for (B) and/ or (C). In either case, the third-party would be actively working against town and in favour of scum. Would the mod put such a role in the game and for what purpose?

There may be other cases, and I may have made some errors or leaps here, but all in all, I’m inclined to go with the scenario that requires the least assumptions in lack of any supporting evidence.
Which brings me back to Case #1, and the case of (C) being false.
If (C) is not true, then trentonlf is lying about N2, and if he’s lying about that then what he said about N1 becomes suspicious at the very least – I hope that our mod is not enough of a bastard to feed a townie with clues that can exonerate scum.

Which brings me to flubbucket.

I’ve found 5 posts, possibly 6, from flubbucket that contain breadcrumbs of his (alleged) role.All but one post, were made after trentonlf reported on his N1 action. As I said, there’s one specific element to that role that can easily put him in the mafia team (and also explain a couple of things), with everything else he’s said being a cover to appear town. Including the avatar he chose, if that is any sort of tell as trentonlf claims.

I’ve also played with the thought that, seeing that I care about his breadcrumbs, he perhaps keeps throwing them every chance he gets in an attempt to scatter any doubts I have for good, possibly hoping that I’d then try to convince others.

This is probably too meta, but I’m getting uneasy every time flubbucket comes forth with any sort of reads on players, as I’ve only seen him do that as scum, and it always feels like he’s trying to appear helpful. I asked specifically about this and the only one that replied was trentonlf with a general comment that flubbucket acts the same whether town or scum.

Do I think he’s more likely to be town than not? Well, if I did, I wouldn’t be dancing around with him for most of D2.

Long story short, I’m not sure if flubbucket is who he says he is, and it needs to be cleared one way or another. We don’t seem to have any other way than the lynch, so, at this point I’m ok with voting him or trentonlf.

And to put my money where my mouth is:


Vote flubbucket



The majority of players are from the other side of the pond, I hope activity will pick up shortly after they wake up, but going by the previous Days, it will probably be around our midnight.