StingingVelvet: I think Netflix and similar services like it for movies, music, books and games all show that we are headed to a place where the idea of owning media will be seen as ridiculous by my children or grandchildren.
I don't really understand that. Why would it be any more ridiculous to them than what it is to us? Do you mean our grandchildren will not ever encounter any type of media they want to own for unlimited use, e.g. because they want to listen/see it on many kinds of devices, anywhere, without any strings attached?
I personally think there will be options for different people. People have been able to either rent a movie for a couple of bucks, or buy a movie of their own for many more bucks, ever since the VHS times. Different people prefer the different services, and many times the same people prefer both for different media. While streamed music has become somewhat popular, it is still very far from surpassing people's will to buy mp3 music (DRM-free!) for their own unlimited use. Yet, for some other music they might still use streaming music services instead.
For now thinking that all games will be offered through internet as a service is just as plausible as how some people believed several years ago that monthly fee MMORPGs will pretty much kill single-player (PC) games, ie. no one will simply want to make single-player games anymore because there's so much more money to be made in MMORPGs and other online-only community games.
Well, to me it seemed that the potential userbase for all the MMORPGs fled to Facebook already, and game developers had to start making single-player games again. WoW is really the only one that remained.
Gersen: Some years ago there was tons of peoples wanting Amiga games... yet Amiga faded away to be replaced by PC, there was no smaller guys that took over.
PC surpassed Amiga simply because PC offered everything Amiga did, and then some. The same cannot be said about cloud services, always online games etc.
Gersen: The issue here is that it's not just video games who are moving to the "allays online" paradigm its the whole market, from games to movies, to even word processing also it's a chain reaction :
- More and more peoples using always online, streamed and cloud based services, means that computer will need to be less and less powerful and have less and less local memory/storage.
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Maybe, or the other alternative will be that "cloud services" face the dotcom crash. Maybe in 10-20 years everyone will laught how people in 2010 really believed word processors and all other applications would be used only through internet.
These things always seem to go in cycles. Do not forget that the whole IT world have already once moved from mainframe "everyone is connected from dumb terminal to a powerful central computer"-model to distributed model, and now people are predicting we are moving back to that model.
Even if we did move there, once again nothing stays forever. Maybe after that we will once again move to distributed model, for whatever reason (maybe it will not be called PC then, but something else). Sometimes things happen unexpectedly, sometimes for seemingly silly reasons. I mean, come on, IBM PC would become a major gaming platform for all homes, are you serious? Yet, it happened.