Posted September 19, 2020
phaolo: If town allegedly prefers a D1 lynch, what about scum?
I think they'd go for it too (if against town), but I'm not too sure.
And if that's true, was there someone who swapped wagons too quickly, maybe on trent?
Well, scum have it convenient on D1. A no-lynch basically means a wasted Day 1 for Town. With Town starting with little information into D2. A mislynch means one less Townie. So they can afford to hold back, be careful not to be too eager to lynch, but appear to be contributing. Especially when the deadline is close the excuse: "I don't want to risk a no-lynch" is very convenient to join a mis-lynch wagon without appearing too eager. Because that's exactly what Townies will do too: join a wagon of which they aren't totally convinced because on D1 no Townie can be totally convinced of anything and risking a mislynch is better than risking a no-lynch on D1. I think they'd go for it too (if against town), but I'm not too sure.
And if that's true, was there someone who swapped wagons too quickly, maybe on trent?
So, scum might be among those who were holding back, not contributing to trent's lynch. Or among those who reluctantly joined. I thing gogtrial, even though he was the driving force behind trent's lynch, is more or less cleared. I don't think Scum!gogtrial would have gone in so publicly and exposed himself in such a way with so much conviction just to drive a wagon on trent. If nmillar is Town, they would have been a more tempting target for Scum than trent was. ... Of course, if nmillar is Scum, that might be an explanation too why their train went nowhere.
Of course gogtrials conviction might be a big show, doing something that scum!gogtrial wouldn't do just to convince experienced players that he can't be scum. (that's 'WIFOM' again) But somehow I don't feel that. gogtrial's conviction that trent is scum seemed genuine, so I'm giving him a Town-pass for now.
I'll have to look at the others, but not on this weekend. I'm quite busy again and will have time to contribute a bit more on Monday.