So what do I have against Robbeasy, anyway?
I went through the thread, reading his posts in isolation. If anyone expects what I'm about to present here is solid, damning evidence, sorry. I do not have any such thing. If I did, I'd post it immediately. It's the usual bunch of small oddities adding up to a picture that seems fairly likely to be true. This is not a comprehensive list; it's tedious enough to read as it is. Wall of text ahead!
#54 -- just after Roosh outs his doublevote ability, Robb claims it makes him a prime target for a nightkill, which is plain wrong, for reasons I have already stated (
#191). This is not particularly damning, but it is something you should bear in mind for what comes later. Also notice this is the first post in which Robb demonstratingly waves the "I'm town!" flag which is going to see such heavy use.
#67 -- observe Robb buttering up to Jess after the first longish post of the game (
#62), despite his sharply contrasting
#32. Rationale uncertain. This is where I made a note reading "blindly trusts jess". Climbs the Orry wagon Jess started pushing as comfortable wagoneer number 2.
#88 -- get used to this pattern, Robb likes it a lot. Lists a few people, provides a short comment to each. Now, at a first glance, all of these summarising posts look like Robb participating in the discussion, but look closer and you'll see the
post itself is virtually useless, merely giving off the illusion of participation. Note all of the comments are very non-committal -- this could very easily be the mafia throwing around tiny insignificant FoSes around to cover all bases, just in case. Another thing to note is that there is absolutely no indication what was the key for selecting the people on this list. Subtle manipulation of the public opinion?
#109 and
#111 -- I have but two words: Flip. Flop.
#128 -- the famous miscount, reportedly pushing Damnation to L-1, but in reality to L-2. I'm willing to believe this was an actual mistake, as the last votecount had been ages ago and the posts between were rather messy. This, however, doesn't change the fact that an L-1 push, at this point still without a claim from Damnation, is pretty damn suspicious, don't you agree? This is the vote that starts the entire Damnation extravaganza, but no one could have expected that.
Moving to Day Two now:
For some sixty posts since the start of the day, Robb doesn't write anything except two posts,
#128 and
#216. I see two possibile interpretations here. Number one: Robb is town and these two posts are fairly useless. Number two: Robb is mafia and is buttering up to the doublevoter as much as he possibly can. The second post includes an odd vote thrown in as an afterthought. Climbs the Orry wagon Baz started pushing as comfortable wagoneer number 2 (now where did I see that before?).
#234 -- exactly the same thing I said about #88 applies here. Except this time, the selection of targets is at least logical. The premise is correct, but there are no conclusions whatsoever. Informational value about the same as saying the sky is blue.
#236,
#238,
#242 -- Flip. Flop. Flip.
#246 -- remember what I said about buttering up to the doublevoter? Thought that was a weak argument? Then go and marvel at the beauty of this post. I'll wait here. And while you're at it, you might want to check out
#252 and
#253. I particularly like the (relatively) heavy use of exclamation and question marks.
#265 -- for all intents and purposes the exact same post as #234.
#277 -- compare
"Also - I hadn't thought about the Damnation theory making me look suspicious tbh, but would I really keep pushing a theory that puts me in the frame if I was Mafia? Foolhardy at best I would think" with
"I'm aware theres other ways of looking at Damnations lynch, and that my theory also puts me in the frame" from
#234. Who finds the discrepancy wins a cookie.
Then I went and voted for Robb and interesting things started happening, but I'll be brief about those: an explanation that didn't explain anything, again with fairly liberal use of exclamation marks (
#279), some time later the most peculiar refusal to understand why would Orry claim vanilla (
#318) and trying to construct a completely ludicrous case against yours truly (
#323; I'd honestly prefer an OMGUS to this). And finally, there's this whole mason thing that's still under development, but who knows where that will take us.
So all in all, that's it. I read his overall play as someone who is trying hard to be seen as active while refusing to commit to anything. Now which group does this behaviour correspond to -- mafia or town?
And here's Robb's complete vote history, if you're interested:
Day One:
votes Jess: 1 (#32)
unvotes Jess: 0, votes Orry: 2 (#67)
unvotes Orry: 1 (#111)
votes Damn: claims 6, actually 5 (#128)
Day Two:
votes Orry: 2 (#216)
unvotes Orry: 1, votes Baz: 0 (#323)
unvotes Baz: 0 (#332)