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General discussion (archive)GOG Mafia #19 - A slalom Mafia(2133 posts)(2133 posts)
(2133 posts)
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This is my favourite topic
Posted February 01, 2014
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Vitek: Have you played with flub before?
Well that's a bit of a personal question.
Posted February 01, 2014
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pazzer: Am voting for flub as most of his posts have been meaningless with no effort made to find mafia. Plus got a no town result when investigated him. Was most disappointed not to have a day kill but day cop ability was quite fun too.
I love how absolutely no one seems to care. I may be tired, but, is that an obvious rhetorical joke, or is there something here ?
Posted February 01, 2014
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amok: Depends how you look at it...

Since the draw of being scum is not related to whether one was scum or not before, the chance of being so is the same for each game. Lets say 1/4 (3/12). So if he was scum in the last game, his chances for being scum in this is 1/4, and his chances of being scum in this game if he was town in the last game is also 1/4.
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SirPrimalform: That was exactly my point (but you actually explained it instead of just being snarky like me). Chances of being scum in any given game aren't in any way affected by previous games.

So in other words, it doesn't depend on how you look at it.
I'm not quite sure what you meant by "Depends how you look at it..." when you just went on to agree with me. :P
Because you can also start calculating the chances of how many times that 1/4 chance hits or do not hit :)

You can calculate the chance for getting drawn as scum (the 1/4 chance) in 1 draw, 2 draws, 3 draws and so on. It should be a binominal distribution calculation (Bernoulli / fail or success calculation)
Posted February 01, 2014
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CSPVG: ...
Why would you say that? Even if you're telling the truth, you're not making things any clearer about Telika, nmillar or yourself. If you're town you're just making yourself a target.


And now pazzer claims as well...
Posted February 01, 2014
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amok: Because you can also start calculating the chances of how many times that 1/4 chance hits or do not hit :)

You can calculate the chance for getting drawn as scum (the 1/4 chance) in 1 draw, 2 draws, 3 draws and so on. It should be a binominal distribution calculation (Bernoulli / fail or success calculation)
But how does that have any bearing on what RB was saying? Previous games don't have an effect on the likelihood of anyone being mafia in this game. :P
Posted February 01, 2014
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SirPrimalform: Well that's a bit of a personal question.
I am not the one to beat around the bush. :-p


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Telika: I love how absolutely no one seems to care. I may be tired, but, is that an obvious rhetorical joke, or is there something here ?
Gah, I read start of that sentence then skipped to end, even wondered if I should ask what day cop is he talking about and if I should correct him about CSPVG but then I decided to leave it.

But pazzer has history of claiming day ability before so I would wait with accepting his claim.
Posted February 01, 2014
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pazzer: Am voting for flub as most of his posts have been meaningless with no effort made to find mafia. Plus got a no town result when investigated him. Was most disappointed not to have a day kill but day cop ability was quite fun too.
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Telika: I love how absolutely no one seems to care. I may be tired, but, is that an obvious rhetorical joke, or is there something here ?
Personally I just do not believe it at the moment... I also find the wording "no town result" interesting.
Posted February 01, 2014
Well, I'd appreciate a little dialogue between Pazzer and Flub, here.
Posted February 01, 2014
I meant fake day abilities in my previous post.
Posted February 01, 2014
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amok: Personally I just do not believe it at the moment... I also find the wording "no town result" interesting.
Mmm, it could be interpreted as a lack of a result rather than "he is not town". Maybe Pazzer was day blocked? :B
Posted February 01, 2014
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SirPrimalform: Mmm, it could be interpreted as a lack of a result rather than "he is not town". Maybe Pazzer was day blocked? :B
"a no town"
Posted February 01, 2014
Well yes I know NOW whether or not they were all telling the truth but please let me get to that in my own time!

Telika had been voted for by Telika, nmillar.
JMich had been voted for by nobody.
Flubbucket had been voted for by pazzer .
pazzer had been voted for by nobody.
Robbeasy had been voted for by nobody.
Vitek had been voted for by P1na.
p1na had been voted for by nobody.
amok had been voted for by DarkoD13, red_baron.
DarkoD13 had been voted for by nobody.
CSPVG had been voted for by nobody.
Twilightbard had been voted for by nobody.
SirPrimalform had been voted for by nobody
nmillar had been voted for by Robbeasy, SirPrimalform
Red_Baron had been voted for by amokand Vitek.
and, yes!
There is no-one else.

meaning that Telika, amok, nmillar and red_baron were just just SIX votes away from a majority vote!!! I could hardly breathe!
While that was going on Twilightbard, and CSPVG, and JMich flubbucket were conspicuous in that they had voted for nobody at all!

And I remember being in bed by 7th Feb o'clock.
Post edited February 01, 2014 by JoeSapphire
Posted February 01, 2014
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pazzer: -snip-
I saw your vote as critical as belive i'm right in saying at that point amok and red were on a similar number of votes. So if you'd moved your vote in all likely hood one of them would have been lynched.
-snip-
I don't believe I was that close to a lynch, but heck if I had been lynched I would have kept our proud and sad tradition alive.

Oh and yes, of course I am. We constantly bigger because I keep forgetting that he is my underling and argues with him, while he doesn't know who I am, but based on the portraits on the walls he is guessing that I am either the mayer he was about to kill or his don. :P

Great, another claim.... If all of these are true claims we really gotta think carefully about this lynch......, so lynch amok :P

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Vitek: '-snip-
Only impression I got form this is that you are trying to avoid being "metaed" so it can't be used against you.
Sorry, I am not going to grant your request.

But seriously, look at it and tell me it is not the same situation as here.
-snip-

I also said that your LAL is mostly null for you. Thanks to meta. It's not why I am voting you.
-snip-
As long as the meta isn't the reason you are voting, then feel free to judge on whatever you believe you can. I took a look back and I do recall something about sisters with Robbeasy and me hammering to win, but that is about it. And if I recall in that game I was way way absentminded given that my focus was on something entirely else - my master project. So again, you are welcome to try to meta, but you can't predict anything from it. Not because I want to discredit it, but because I am a very very random person and as such I would consider it unlikely you can compare one reaction of mine in one game to a reaction in another - even if we had had those who shall not be named in the first game, the fact that it was a game where I barely read before responding doesn't really help.
But yes, as long as that is not the sole reason I see no reason to discuss this would you, I would just hate to see it used as the argument, because it would be impossible to explain, refute and be completely wrong as to whom I am ;)

Quoted for truth :)
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SirPrimalform: But how does that have any bearing on what RB was saying? Previous games don't have an effect on the likelihood of anyone being mafia in this game. :P
Posted February 01, 2014
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Telika: "a no town"
I wasn't quoting him.
Posted February 01, 2014
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Telika: "a no town"
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SirPrimalform: I wasn't quoting him.
I mean, can this be interpreted as no result ? Doesn't the "a" prevent this interpretation?
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This is my favourite topic
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General discussion (archive)GOG Mafia #19 - A slalom Mafia(2133 posts)(2133 posts)
(2133 posts)