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Braggadar: It shouldn't be surprising, because that's all part of being human. Every one of us has blinders and blindspots. We have out hang-ups, our biases and our bouts of denial. We are a product of our environments. To deny this is denial in itself.
Every one of us feels a drive to contribute to a discussion that interests us, regardless of our level of expertise or amount of evidense to support it. This forum is littered with examples of this behaviour, so why would a more important issue be any different?
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Telika: There's also a genuine, intolerable, unavoidable, anti-democratic (and dangerous) violence in the reality of expertise. We all know of of institutions producing fake expertise (from Lyssenko to modern economy presented as hard science), so a hint of suspicion is rational. But this suspicion is further fueled by the sentiment of exclusion from discussions on matters that actually require levels of knowledge that not everyone can attain (if only because it requires yearslong building). People feel deprived of their voices in front of scientific communities, at the same time where wikis, participative internet and populism offer them a form of "democracy" where each voice is equal. Accepting that we are not equals in front of scientific knowledge, and accepting that it makes us vulnerable to manipulations but that we have no mean to combat it (at the layman level, the ratonal thing is still to trust expertise until further notice) is just tough on the morale, self-esteem, and fantasies of self-sufficient heroism. This gives momentum to populist charlatanism and super-selective relativism. Via, at best, the principle of indifference ("I don't know the answer therefore I'll assume it's 50/50").

Suspicious humility is a difficult stance to hold. Many people, without being experts at a scientific field, are still sufficiently aware of the functionning of scientific communities (their advantages, shortcomings, and shortcoming self-awarenesses) to generally trust its consensuses. But others, less directly aware of its validation and invalidation processes, have no reason to trust it. And yet others are taught -by their own selected authorities- to dismiss it by principle (because the scientific world is the enemy of traditional conservatism, is a nest of subversive communists, is the tool of Satan against Faith, etc).

It's not easy to build a consensus on stuff we don't have directly access to. It's not easy either to accept that we're not in position to hold our own strong opinion, and have to rely on (rationally) selected authorities.

This thread has very clear exemples of this unease, with fears of "top-down" authority arguments. Unavoidable fears, for unavoidable sources of knowledge.
You might find this particularly enlightening.
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Braggadar: It shouldn't be surprising, because that's all part of being human. Every one of us has blinders and blindspots. We have out hang-ups, our biases and our bouts of denial. We are a product of our environments. To deny this is denial in itself.
Every one of us feels a drive to contribute to a discussion that interests us, regardless of our level of expertise or amount of evidense to support it. This forum is littered with examples of this behaviour, so why would a more important issue be any different?
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Trilarion: One can try to rationalize it, but I guess that future generations will not look very favorably on us. Heck, I guess even our own children will probably loathe us a great amount.

But is it really rational? The amount of precaution and risk-aversion we take to avoid airplanes from falling down, or chocking on some plastic wrapping compared to converting the whole available space for living into a permanent desert and not doing even remotely what would be possible about it.

We have so many insurances against anything, but even if global warming would not likely be true, shouldn't just the possibility that it could drive every sane person to immediate emergency actions just because the estimated loss is so big?

Therefore I must conclude that we are on average crazy and irrational (or just not very smart). Blind spots are okay, but I guess they do not really explain. We are capable of learning and adapting our opinions.
Many of us are familiar with the same people saying that we were about to enter an ice age. Turn around and look at all the health advice studies on what you should and shouldn't eat, and they're all conflicting. This skepticism of science is quite healthy.

I also have a study that says all women are sexually attracted to women. I'll let you bounce that one around.
Post edited November 07, 2018 by kohlrak
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tinyE: ... Quote, "I don't care if it's true or not."
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Trilarion: And for older people it might be just that, they won't feel the impact too strongly, so why should they care about it?
No, it's her nature. :P I love the woman, she's my mother, and being bullheaded can be noble in certain situations, but the woman has never changed her mind in 78 years! :P She asserts her opinion, and regardless of what happens or what comes to light, she sticks by it.

Shit, the woman still insist Nixon did nothing wrong, not because she actually believes that, but because she voted for him and would never admit she voted for a crook.

But that's getting into my personal family history which really has no place in this thread.
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Trilarion: And for older people it might be just that, they won't feel the impact too strongly, so why should they care about it?
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tinyE: No, it's her nature. :P I love the woman, she's my mother, and being bullheaded can be noble in certain situations, but the woman has never changed her mind in 78 years! :P She asserts her opinion, and regardless of what happens or what comes to light, she sticks by it.

Shit, the woman still insist Nixon did nothing wrong, not because she actually believes that, but because she voted for him and would never admit she voted for a crook.

But that's getting into my personal family history which really has no place in this thread.
Aren't they all crooks, though? In the end, who plays this game 100% legit?
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tinyE: ... Quote, "I don't care if it's true or not."
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Trilarion: I guess this will be the answer in most cases really. And for older people it might be just that, they won't feel the impact too strongly, so why should they care about it? Maybe for the sake of their children and grandchildren and so on... but that is the only argument I really have there.
Like i've been saying, it's not really fair to make blanket assumptions. We're not experts on the human psyche or census-takers here, but I would think that there are other reasons beyond "I don't care because it won't affect me" in play.
It might be partially this in someone's mind. After all, we all don't react one way because of one thought, but another major part of this might be a long-term result of "media bombardment".

How long can we listen to ever-changing theories by the scientific community as a whole before you finally achieve apathy / distrust?
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Trilarion: I guess this will be the answer in most cases really. And for older people it might be just that, they won't feel the impact too strongly, so why should they care about it? Maybe for the sake of their children and grandchildren and so on... but that is the only argument I really have there.
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Braggadar: Like i've been saying, it's not really fair to make blanket assumptions. We're not experts on the human psyche or census-takers here, but I would think that there are other reasons beyond "I don't care because it won't affect me" in play.
It might be partially this in someone's mind. After all, we all don't react one way because of one thought, but another major part of this might be a long-term result of "media bombardment".

How long can we listen to ever-changing theories by the scientific community as a whole before you finally achieve apathy / distrust?
Apathy seems to be the big thing, and not just with science. Your average person just doesn't care as long as they're paying the bills and getting whatever it is that makes them happy. Then you have the boomers who only think of their pensions, and that's how they vote.
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kohlrak: You might find this particularly enlightening.
No but the fact that you consider it so is.
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kohlrak: You might find this particularly enlightening.
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Telika: No but the fact that you consider it so is.
As well as your apathy.
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Telika: No but the fact that you consider it so is.
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kohlrak: As well as your apathy.
Scientific research is hard. Youtube alt-right influencer #17'654 jerking you off for 58 minutes is lazy. Even if it makes you feel super intellectual because words.

Different standards. Don't overestimate yours, or the reasons why you selected them.
Now-now peeps. Let's keep it impersonal.
This is after all is likely the catalyst of most thread locking. Not the topic itself, but our behaviour toward one other.
Post edited November 07, 2018 by Braggadar
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kohlrak: As well as your apathy.
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Telika: Scientific research is hard. Youtube alt-right influencer #17'654 jerking you off for 58 minutes is lazy. Even if it makes you feel super intellectual because words.

Different standards. Don't overestimate yours, or the reasons why you selected them.
Those words are important though: the scientist guest is saying why modern science is having the trouble it's having: peer review, anymore, is a joke. Publishing is largely based on the politics of the publisher.
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Braggadar: Now-now peeps. Let's keep it impersonal.
This is after all is likely the catalyst of most thread locking. Not the topic itself, but our behvaiour toward one other.
I think that statement was needed a while ago.
Post edited November 07, 2018 by kohlrak
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Braggadar: ...How long can we listen to ever-changing theories by the scientific community as a whole before you finally achieve apathy / distrust?
The scientific community is actually pretty stable and reliably pro global warming (that it really takes place) since decades.

When buying a new car we scrutinize every detail of it despite tons of car advertisements wanting to distract us, the same way when planning a vacation or in which school to send our kids. No reason to assume we wouldn't do the same thing for the future well being of our offspring.

It could be that for some "trick of nature or God" we are unable to actually see the disaster that is coming but there are millions out there who actually see it coming so the blind-spot would need to only apply to some of us somehow. I would not buy into that currently.

The easiest explanation is still that we are somehow too stupid (on average). The fault, however much there is, is totally on us. That's what I would assume until any plausible evidence for something else comes up.

The sad thing is that in the end, if we fail, it doesn't really matter why we did. Future generations will just look at us incomprehensibly and say "what idiots".

I should stop here because I'm getting frustrated.
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Braggadar: It shouldn't be surprising, because that's all part of being human. Every one of us has blinders and blindspots. We have out hang-ups, our biases and our bouts of denial. We are a product of our environments. To deny this is denial in itself.
Every one of us feels a drive to contribute to a discussion that interests us, regardless of our level of expertise or amount of evidense to support it. This forum is littered with examples of this behaviour, so why would a more important issue be any different?
I suppose that's true, but sad. I don't think that people in general are stupid, but I do think that the way we've built our media and information delivery systems lends itself to laziness. That to me seems to be the real problem. There's lots of armchair experts out there blathering on about climate change or the economy or take your pick of any other subject and they couldn't be bothered to even do preliminary research on what they're talking about. They base their whole opinion on videos or articles from a single echo chamber that doesn't bother to study the issues in any rigorous way.

This is a failure that isn't partisan in nature, it is a general human failure. Most people just don't have the attention span or the time nowadays to sit down and read scientific journals to inform themselves. And the sources that are supposed to condense that information for us have been doing a poor job of it for a long time.
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Telika: Scientific research is hard. Youtube alt-right influencer #17'654 jerking you off for 58 minutes is lazy. Even if it makes you feel super intellectual because words.

Different standards. Don't overestimate yours, or the reasons why you selected them.
You know, I could have agreed with you. This video is totally uninformative and is just a chatter made to suck up the viewers and not explain the topic. However, the fact that you dismissed it because the host is "alt-right" i.e. not left and not because of actual content, speaks volumes in favor of kohlrak. It's not "sentiment of exclusion" and other BS that you claim, that made people to distrust science, but partisanship of the scientists and the news outlets.
Post edited November 07, 2018 by LootHunter
I see that the thread is going off topic from time to time, and just wanted to kindly ask you not to venture into political discussions that are not related to video games and follow our forum guidelines.
This thread has a rather interesting topic and I enjoy reading your thoughts about it :) That aside, please note that I'm keeping an eye on it as well.
Post edited November 07, 2018 by chandra
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chandra: I see that the thread is going off topic from time to time, and just wanted to kindly ask you not to venture into political discussions that are not related to video games and follow our forum guidelines.
Well, global warming has become a quite political topic, thanks to some... Nah. Not going to finish that sentence. In any case this game and politics are intertwined, so it's unavoidable that this discussion includes politics.