Posted November 07, 2018
low rated

Every one of us feels a drive to contribute to a discussion that interests us, regardless of our level of expertise or amount of evidense to support it. This forum is littered with examples of this behaviour, so why would a more important issue be any different?

Suspicious humility is a difficult stance to hold. Many people, without being experts at a scientific field, are still sufficiently aware of the functionning of scientific communities (their advantages, shortcomings, and shortcoming self-awarenesses) to generally trust its consensuses. But others, less directly aware of its validation and invalidation processes, have no reason to trust it. And yet others are taught -by their own selected authorities- to dismiss it by principle (because the scientific world is the enemy of traditional conservatism, is a nest of subversive communists, is the tool of Satan against Faith, etc).
It's not easy to build a consensus on stuff we don't have directly access to. It's not easy either to accept that we're not in position to hold our own strong opinion, and have to rely on (rationally) selected authorities.
This thread has very clear exemples of this unease, with fears of "top-down" authority arguments. Unavoidable fears, for unavoidable sources of knowledge.

Every one of us feels a drive to contribute to a discussion that interests us, regardless of our level of expertise or amount of evidense to support it. This forum is littered with examples of this behaviour, so why would a more important issue be any different?

But is it really rational? The amount of precaution and risk-aversion we take to avoid airplanes from falling down, or chocking on some plastic wrapping compared to converting the whole available space for living into a permanent desert and not doing even remotely what would be possible about it.
We have so many insurances against anything, but even if global warming would not likely be true, shouldn't just the possibility that it could drive every sane person to immediate emergency actions just because the estimated loss is so big?
Therefore I must conclude that we are on average crazy and irrational (or just not very smart). Blind spots are okay, but I guess they do not really explain. We are capable of learning and adapting our opinions.
I also have a study that says all women are sexually attracted to women. I'll let you bounce that one around.
Post edited November 07, 2018 by kohlrak