Cadaver747: No counterclaim confirms it, risking his life to meet another Commuter confirms it even more. Don't you agree?
Bookwyrm627: Obviously I don't agree, but it looks like I'm generally out-voted on this point.
I admit that Joe's claim was odd to make, especially on L-2 wagon based on his absence. Let's think this over. That claim might have sense to signal Cop to look elsewhere, however if he read the Sign-Up thread with Pooka's role projection he knew that Macho Cop is as good as dead, unless he thought that a plus 1 player (12 instead of 11) could mean that Pooka changed it into normal Cop. I don't think I saw Joe mentioned something like this, but it could be the case. Nevertheless if he is Town that claim is good for Mafia, yet it could also cement him as Town and shielded him from Mafia's NK.
Now let's discuss our options here, so Joe read the Pooka's role menu and claimed Commuter. Why Commuter of all things? To point us to Pooka's post and prove that it's a thing, especially after dead Cop flips Macho? Convenient? Yes. Risky? I say too risky. What about real Town Commuter? Why he/she didn't respond? Because GOG Mafia with 2 Commuters is a possibility? Well, I don't know but let's assume it's a well known thing. So it's going like this:
1) Joe is Mafia
Joe-the false-Commuter claimed Commuter
Town-Commuter counterclaimed
Result: Town probably would lynch one, if he/she flips Town, lynch another. Result: stupid death, no real gain.
2) Joe is Mafia
same as above but this time Town-Commuter keep his/her mouth shut just because (believe in 2 Commuters, or waiting for an opportunity to claim later and looking as to who support Joe the most)
Result: if real Town Commuter is mislynched, Joe will be lynched as well. Result: same death, but live a bit longer, no real gain unless Mafia need time for something else.
3) Joe is Town
He just claimed his role hoping that Cop will do his best searching Mafia.
4) Joe is something entirely else, Town or not
I already mused about lying Town and Neutral in post#655 yet no one reacted.
https://www.gog.com/forum/general/gog_mafia_73_soleannas_supreme_guardians/post655 Dedo mentioned that Cop claim (if done before Micro's like ZFR pointed out) or Doctor claim might have sense to do in order to fish out Town PR (I agree completely), but claiming Commuter for the risk of being lynched in case of Commuter #2, I don't get it. How many Town would believe in 2 Commuters? I want to understand you.
Bump