Quiet day. We've got lots of time though and we definitely didn't do this same exact thing D1. So there's
nothing to worry about.
Since it was slow I got to finish re-reads. Some concerns overall that the options ultimately boil down to either going POE or hunting deep wolves blind as options. Given where we're at I'm still at ZFR#1 preferred, Ix#2. So...
vote ZFR for the moment in place of self-vote.
I could definitely believe both, since Ix's D1 and D2 votes would both make sense in that scenario. If just one ZFR seems the more likely to me, and just Ix being Ix? I have no idea what scum!Ix was doing there if it wasn't protecting ZFR.
Will vote Ix as well in two scenarios. Would like to see his response to my earlier question.
ZFR: Where I'm going with this? I think this makes P1na non-mafia.
The only reason maf!P1na might vote Joe is if he (P1na) dropped the ball, got scared "I'll look suspicious if I keep my RVS vote on ZFR!!" and voted the first thing that came to his mind. Or purposely did it as a form of elaborate WIFOM because he anticipated someone would think the way I did. But I honestly see either as unlikely.
------------------------------------------------
Ignoring the vote itself and the wagon, what did/do you think of P1na's explanation for that vote (#223)?
"I like Joe quite a bit, it feels like he jokes around just like I like to do, but he does seem to move his vote around a lot for no real reason, and nailing him seems to be the easiest. And I'm tired of thinking, plus it's D1 anyway. So sorry Joe, but I'll be going for you.Your death means I live to vote another day, which was my goal to start with. Unless I get nightkilled. "
How do you relate to or differentiate that from your own action and thinking?
muddysneakers: Also I'm flattered you think I've made some sharp points but I have no idea what those were.
Here's a few:
#62 is very observant, thoughtful, good questions to ask at that point in the game
#158 is a clear, reasonable explanation for your action in response to reading some of the reactions.
I'm not inclined to catalog all of them, but you've definitely got moments.
muddysneakers: I think you have to look at it in terms of experience. If you think I'm a new player, then you have to consider I might make some weird, eyebrow raising, or downright bad town plays.
muddysneakers: I think you have to look at it in terms of experience. If you think I'm a new player, then you have to consider I might make some weird, eyebrow raising, or downright bad neutral plays.
muddysneakers: I think you have to look at it in terms of experience. If you think I'm a new player, then you have to consider I might make some weird, eyebrow raising, or downright bad mafia plays.
We've had some new players mop the floor as maf in the past precisely because of that grace. So, sorry, but...
muddysneakers: Either he is really struggling with his reads or he has to fake it.
Either is possible. But the no lynch aggro on you is NAI around here.
The part about cristi seems a bit to imply or require some knowledge that my town read of cristi is correct and his read of cristi is wrong?
Or perhaps you're hanging on the OMGUS. IDK.
Stepping back from that specific situation - as a general rule over time your scumreads will be wrong more often than right. Your town reads will be right more often than wrong. Do you know why that is?
Ultimately, you'll see a lot of bad reads. And you'll see some good reads that are not reads at all but statements of fact due to prior knowledge.
The question is whether the explanation for the read is believable. Barring good luck or someone's investigative prowess, this is often a game of attrition and looking at how people's explanation for their reads (good and bad) stack up over time.