If you're stuck on the first level of the Keep, you need to activate a thing in portal room with the Nightmare horse, you'll get a cutscene showing you the way down from the main chamber has unlocked. I can't post links, but you can look up a video called "Lostlarn Keep Portal Puzzle - Pathfinder: Kingmaker - Varnhold's Lot - Let's Play - 9" by a guy called BringItDon on Youtube, the room is at timestamp 20:29.
If you've cleared the lower level and can't figure out how to progress, SPOILER, follow the underground river all the way to the N-E corner of the map, and inspect the vine-covered wall, Cephal will make a comment on it. Then backtrack a bit along the river until you reach the flower patch, at which point Cephal will automatically make some comments and you can interact with it. When you interact with it you can tell Cephal to do some stuff which will move you along, but make a save beforehand.
Post edited March 23, 2019 by FelixC87