Come to think of it, its weird that nobody remembers the close-to-catastrophic H1N1 outbreak in 2009 and how people handled that. Its particulary impressive compared to the numbers we know from the H1N1 outbreak during 1918, which was by far the worst modern disease outbreak I know about, not counting Black Death and diseases like that. A lot can be learned from 2009 alone.
At any case, I give this outbreak 3 months until its over and thats me being pessimistic. Place your bets!
Starkrun: This all just started in the midwest states for us.. went from 0 to 9 over night and from 10 to ̶1̶0̶,̶0̶0̶0̶
edit: It's 100,000 now suspected. all schools and colleges are shutdown and every event where more then 100 gather is shutdown.
Toilet paper, meat, paper towels, hand sanitizer, bottled water, bread and all cold medicine is gone from nearly every store. anything fresh or dairy is almost gone from the shelves.
Don't believe any number, its most likely 500 new infected at worst. A infection that may be worse than corona may be a
memetic one. This is exactly the greatest time for disinformation, especially if it benefits scammers. My rule: Keep your body warm but your mind cool and don't panic.
To be honest, its 16 days from your example and not 2 as the incubation time is 14 days. So every government should've made precautions 14 days ago. Even just adhering to basic hygene standards can help people a lot. If you go outside and adhere to basic hygene (
as described by the WHO), you will get way less likely infected with absolute certainty. And if you have rubbergloves that you can throw away like those from a hospital, a SURE risk of infection goes down from 100 to only 2 or 1 percent, because most people get infected by touching a part of the surface that was already touched by someone already infected. The virus usually survives around 12-48 hours on flat surfaces. The coronavirus is nothing special so 24 hours should apply. Just remove the gloves like a nurse would and you should be fine, even if you have covid on your gloves. After removal, toss the used gloves inside a bin, wash your hands and make sure that you don't touch your face before that. Only touch your face after washing your hands and make sure that the surfaces that you've touched with your gloves are clean as well (should take around 2-5 minutes to clean).
If you don't use gloves, use a piece of paper if you touch a flat surface, after touching the surface with the piece of paper between the surface and your hands, throw away the piece of paper and don't touch the side that touched said surface. And only touch your face only AFTER washing your hands. Don't touch your face while you're in public at all and the risk of infection already deceases significantly as well :>!
I think if people just believe that EVERYONE is infected (kinda like helping against jitters if you're an actor) and act accordingly in public, all while adhering to the WHO rules, this entire odeal could be over within the next 6 weeks to 2 months. But perhaps its just me thinking of people as reasonable beings who don't freak out all the time so they can have toiletpaper wars lol.
EDIT: Thought you meant the actual number of infected and not just an idiom, haha.
