TStael: I wish to start off this thread because I am incensed to read that it would be "laughable" for Turkey to be considered for "Europe."
timppu: I think there has been a general negative impact to those wishes due to:
- Latest political changes in Turkey, ie. it seems to be going towards islamistic direction (Turkey has or at least used to have strong secular tradition), rather than more liberal and more democratic "European" direction.
- Many people have felt that certain countries lately have been given an entry to EU zone too easily, and these thoughts affect also Turkey. EU and euro has a dilemma already now because different countries are in such different situations. For instance, is Euro currency too strong, or too weak? Depends if you are talking about an EU country which depends a lot on export outside of EU zone, or one which is in high debt.
Do you not think the first and the second point might and should not possibly be seen in terms of cause and consequence?
Turkey's interest and wish to associate with Europe whiledates back to Atatürk, and granted, he was a dictator of sorts, but if we look at our soil, Carnation revolution in Portugal was a military coup that... lead into democracy.
But imagine also, you feel identification with someone (=Europe) you wish to tie bounds of friendship with, and you are pointed out that you should really aim to perfect yourself, to be worthy, but you observe meanwhile that others are accepted cum happily tolerated even if they are:
- anti-European (GB, DK)
- never posteriori met economical criteria for the Euro (GR)
- have rather antidemocratic government (HU)
- are economically somewhat unsound (PT, ES + GR), plausibly due to hopping onto Euro-bandwagon combined with relatively high level of corruption and relatively poor gender equality at labour markets
- new members with little a priori endorsement from Transparency International, presumably increasing level of unethical dealings and corruption in the Union
Imagine this parade of friends, when you are rejected - how shall you feel?
The islamist dinge is fairly recent in Turkey, and I dare say put into attractive light by Europe spurning Turkey, as opposed to seeing Turkey as a bridge to Asia and bridge to Middle-East, besides our deep cultural ties. Plus that "war on terror" ethos that seeks to pit nations against, as opposed to get along.
I do see that Atatürk topic (Pamuk trial) and Armenian topic need to be addressed, but then again, we did have Hannu Salama trial for blasphemy in Finland as late as mid 60s and we did push the saami people up to north - so all nations shall have their blemishes, but finding the constructive way out is the matter of mixing the hopeful attitude with the critical. Me thinks.