Breaking this post into chunks to see if I can get it to post!
xyem: Heh, but if people don't read multiquote posts, how would they know they disagreed with me to downrate my posts?
jamotide: Good point, maybe that's why they downrated them, maybe they think "too long to bother with, probably wrong as usual". See, false conclusions are fun, in reality mostly your short readable posts got lowrated. (feel free to find a long downrated one in those 20 pages, I am too lazy to but beware that I will just say that post must have been especially wrong)
Not sure why I even bothered doing this, seeing as you just outright told me that you were going to immediately dismiss the evidence I provide without even looking at it, even if it is the evidence you requested.
Disclaimers:
1) I've limited this to just posts I made in discussion with jamotide. This is because some posts that were/are low-rated were neither part of an argument and clearly nothing to do with being right or wrong (for example, the post where I refused to discuss with jamotide any further is currently low-rated).
2) It is also obvious that someone has, since I last looked at the discussion, uprated at least one of my posts, removing the low-rating marker. I don't have access to a list of posts that have ever become low-rated.
3) Due to the posts still being subject the ratings, the following data is only "as of now".
Of the 32 posts I am regarding, 9 are currently low-rated.
Without a definition of "short, readable", I have just used groups of 100 words. This provides a breakdown of:
001-100 (6)
101-200 (1)
401-500 (1)
501-600 (1)
This means that 66% of my currently low-rated posts in that topic are 100 words or less. This can arguably be regarded as "most" as it is 2/3 majority. However, I was told to find "a long downrated one" and found at least 2.
If I know my statistics (which as I've mentioned, I don't :P), this is a "naive" view of the data. If I made more short, readable posts than long ones, then it may simply be more likely any given low-rated one will be a short one due to the population bias. The bias of "a long post is more likely to contain something that earns a down-rating" is a possible factor, but of unknown magnitude and is thus ignored (aside from this disclaimer, obviously).
I believe that the best way to make this data more informative is to also include the non-low-rating posts and look at how the low-ratings are in proportion to their group.
001-100 gives 6 in 19 (32%)
101-200 gives 1 in 5 (15%)
201-300 gives 0 in 1 (0%)
301-400 gives 0 in 1(0%)
401-500 gives 1 in 3 (34%)
501-600 gives 1 in 3 (34%)
This means that the "short, readable" posts have about same low-rating percentage as the long posts (~33%).
If you split it into 2 groups (i.e. short, readable and long) at one of those boundaries, you can get it to vary by a fair amount by moving the boundary (due to the small sample size..).
100 = 32% vs 23%
200 = 29% vs 25%
300 = 28% and 29%
400 = 27% vs 33%
500 = 26% vs 33%
In case it matters, my average post length in the sample set is 158 words.
So, the claim that "in reality mostly your short readable posts got lowrated" is (tenuously) supported by an initial count (7 vs 2), but taking into account sample bias, I believe has just been proven false.
Of course, if anyone has any questions, comments, requests, suggestions or criticisms, please share them. I am willing to extract and publish word count and low-rating data for that entire topic if requested for people to analyse (or send the quick dataset I made for this analysis), but please bear in mind that someone could now go in and purposely low-rate all the short posts and uprate all the long ones to "make me wrong". The joys of a non-static data set :P
As for the rest of your post:
jamotide: Which I think I told you about 15 times before. (feel free to count and prove my random number wrong for fun)
You mentioned the 5 accounts thing 9 times and 5 of those weren't even directed at me. You're a little bit off.
jamotide: Everyone knows what is meant when it is said that "only a crazy person would do it". You can technically prove the contrary, but it doesn't make it less crazy.
The argument wasn't about the craziness of the theory, it was about the possibility of it being done. You were using "crazy" as a reason for rejection of evidence.
When asked if you would admit to being wrong that "no-one would do it" if
I did it, you (eventually..) responded with:
(
Forum can't handle me making the entire text a link).
Ok then NO. If you made 100 accounts right now to downrep me, you would realise what a futile excercise this would be and agree with me, so please go ahead and waste your precious hours on my pointless rep.
I have been saying this to you for days now, why do you claim I dodged this question, it is my sole point, my whole arguement. That its a crazy waste of time and therefore a crazy theory, no one would do it.
Emphasis mine.
By your own words, your sole point, your whole argument was... "it's crazy".
jamotide: Why would you come up with that? You must have really put alot of thought in how to downrep someone..
Because that is how Ubivis was attacked. I have put a lot of thought into it. And? The best way to figure out how something may be attacked is to think how to attack it.
jamotide: Wonder if you doing it to me??!?! Waah. Yes that was me making a false paranoid conclusion, I don't think you are doing it to me. Stop being so paranoid.
You don't think I'm doing it to you because there is no reason to believe
anyone is doing it to you, let alone me. That is why such a belief would be paranoid.. you lack any evidence to even suspect something, let alone that I may be behind it.
When I looked at the RepLog data, you had lost 2 rep versus my
12. I was the second highest rep loss. Everyone knows who was first. The person below me was 1 loss behind me and was also arguing with you. The person after them had lost about 3, if I recall correctly. That's a pretty steep drop off...
When I lose more rep in one topic while arguing with you than I have in 3 years of heated arguments combined that's evidence to suspect something is going on.
When I didn't lose anywhere near as much rep arguing the same point with someone else, that is evidence that something is going on and that you may be involved.
When I only seem to lose rep within an hour of you postingbut not losing rep when you're no, that is evidence that something is going on, you are involved and it is you that is doing it.
I may be
wrong about what is going on and who is doing it (someone might even be framing you..), but I'm not
paranoid as I have reasons that something is going on and why I suspect it is you.
jamotide: No, you have to take a new proxy for each account or it would be immediately visible and possibly reversed rendering all your efforts useless
As
you said, I have put a lot more thought into this than you have and I'm supposedly the "wizard" out of the two of us (5 seconds per
character for you to sign up, by the way[1]). When I say "you only need one", I know what I am talking about.
[1] At 5 seconds per character, you short simple post #275 would take 30 minutes to compose. You're either lying or withholding information, like you signed up using a phone.
You use a proxy to stop your
true account from being identified
along with the other accounts. The "attack" accounts are
disposable. It doesn't matter if GOG identify them all by their single shared IP and remove them all.. you can just make more. A whole bunch of signups at one time from a single IP would be immediately visible
if someone was watching, but no-one is. It doesn't matter if the weapons end up in the hands of the authorities,
as long as they can't trace them back to you.
jamotide: Yes you are not talking about your popularity at all. And why would you assume this gets downrated? Because you know you are making pointless arguments about an uninteresting topic? I am,too. Or because you are simply wrong? Doubt it. Or are you just saying that to prevent it from being downrated? I don't think it will be downrated, because nobody will read it. And by nobody I semantically don't mean the technical nobody, I mean the colloquial nobody like "nobody reads newspapers anymore".
I thought it would be downrated because it would only take 5 people to read the "I would create 100 accounts to downrep someone" and ignore the qualifying statements around it.
I certainly didn't say it to stop it being downrated because that only works when someone is
trying to get downrated!
My trustworthiness as a debate opponent has nothing to do with how popular I am.
jamotide: No, you have earned your trust (rightfully so) by giving away free stuff. Even I like you for that, bribes work. But I try to not let my deep affection for you cloud the way I perceive the issue.
You don't earn trust by giving away free stuff because there is no trust involved in receiving the free things. It may have put me in the
position to be given the opportunity to
prove I am trustworthy but that's it.
I earned the trust I have when I was given $100+ of stuff to keep hold of and
I didn't steal it. I earned the trust I have when given a game first in a trade, I didn't just run off with it. I earned the trust I have when someone told me they "absolutely trusted me", I told them
not to (no-one should trust me more than I do).