No, that's not right; there's a 75% chance of a mislynch today, but only a 66% chance of a mislynch tomorrow.

The problem with this is that it relies on 2 people agreeing on a lynching vote today, which currently shows no sign of happening.
Tomorrow the scum can just wait for anyone to vote & second that.

Which is why I already urged caution before casting your vote tomorrow. I will probably die tonight, so you'll be able to get the flavour text from Orryrro and see if it matches his claim - if it does, then Vitek is mafia. If not, then it's Orryrro.

And yes, I believe Rodzaju is town; his flavour text has been very accurate so far.

I can say the same. If I die tonight and you get confirmation on Ory, Rod, then nmillar is mafia. His character have been also confirmed only by him. Or maybe he is not. This will really help us a lot...

my other suspect decided to vote for Vitek.

So let me get this straight, people's suspects are:

nmillar: Vitek / Orryrro
Orryrro: Rodzaju / nmillar
Rodzaju: Orryrro
Vitek: Orryrro / nmillar

Close.
I've just typed a similar post:

OK, my understanding of the whole dilemna:

I believe that Orry is scum.
I do have some suspicion of Vitek, but Orry is streets ahead.
I don’t really have anything that will stand up against Nmillar.

Nmillar believes that the bad guy is Vitek.
He believes I am Town.

Orry believes I am scum, followed by Nmillar.

Vitek believes that Nmillar is mafia, followed by me.

I can’t really see anyone changing their minds on this.
So, much as I think it is a bad idea, I will have to support the Nolynch & hope for the best tonight.

Unvote Orry, Vote Nolynch

Note to Nmillar: Damn you avatar! I keep finding myself writing she....
If one slips through, it’s not an aspersion on your manhood ;-}

The "Oh! I do so wish I could see that bit!" votecount

Rodzaju - 1 - Orryyrro
nmillar - 1 - Vitek
Vitek - 1 - nmillar
nolynch - 1 - Rodzaju

With 4 alive, it takes 3 to lynch. It's a bit less than three days before sunset.

The other thing I've just realised is that the only vanilla townie so far has been fexen (Cook). So, based on people's claims, there are either 3 vanillas and 6 power roles or 2 vanillas and 7 power roles ... and 3 mafia, obviously.

Eh? There was cop, doctor, tracker and one-shot vigilante. Then there is Rod, I would call him more of semi-power role but whatever. Still I wouldn't go so far as calling me or Robbeasy power role. :-P
Well it kinda looks like we won't really be able to agree but three of us are suspicious of Orryyrro so there is certainly some possibility (maybe not only for him). In fact I wanted to vote him at the start of the day but I decided to give him space for helping the town. Yet he is the only one that hasn't tried to find anything on anyone.

So, even though it's not your preferred choice, you would rather vote Orry than Nolynch?

Nmillar: can you get behind this idea?

Orryyrro has been my prefered choice for 3 last days. He was just given the luxury of not getting more attention thanks to Typhoon and Violator. And today I tried to not be hasty and tried to find other choices. Yes, upon rereading he seem less scummy to me but his not-contribution does him no good. If he is town he should already tried to convince people of it.

Also, though nmillar acts quite strangely for my taste he still is very unlikely to be mafia. It wouldn't make sense when looked upon day 3. I'd understand if only Typhoon was against him, then he could be mafia, but why would Violoator do it if he was mafia? He knew in this case the game would proceed and he would get problably lynched for lying, right?
This leaves me onyl with you and Orryy. You have some things that make me suspect you but at least you try to help town unlike Orry.

No, he uses his so called information to make him appear more town without actually contributing, though I am starting to doubt he is mafia. unvote

You've got me quite cornered here, right? I don't want nolynch and you see it as scummy in my case but not when Rod does it. I want lynch someone but you refuse to and you're forcing me to nolynch. Then you think you'll get killed, which is quite possible and if it happens I am the scum. Without some backing just because you think so. So you just want to lynch me and want to achieve it by going to another day and getting yourself killed. But how does your death proves I am scum?

So you think he is faking scum-hunting and in the same sentance you think he is probably not scum?

Nice.
I know I probabaly won't achieve anything by I am going to unvote and vote Orryyrro.