Posted May 26, 2011
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Taleroth
Sapient Software
Registered: May 2011
From United States
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Rodzaju
Official Bastard
Registered: Jan 2010
From United Kingdom
Posted May 26, 2011
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Rodzaju - Another bandwagoner. Voted for Robbeasy in the random voting stage before jumping on the Orryrro bandwagon. When that didn't take off, he jumped back on the Robbeasy bandwagon instead. Also a big part of the jester discussion.
Snip
My return to Rob was the first vote after his claim.
Again, how is this bandwagonning?
This is the 3rd time I have been questioned with dubious claims.
Vitek did it & then retracted his claim (posts 177-180).
Twilight did the same (261 – 263)
Now you….
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nmillar
↑ ↑ ↓ ↓ ← → ← → B A
Registered: Feb 2009
From United Kingdom
Posted May 26, 2011
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Rodzaju - Another bandwagoner. Voted for Robbeasy in the random voting stage before jumping on the Orryrro bandwagon. When that didn't take off, he jumped back on the Robbeasy bandwagon instead. Also a big part of the jester discussion.
Snip
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My return to Rob was the first vote after his claim.
Again, how is this bandwagonning?
This is the 3rd time I have been questioned with dubious claims.
Vitek did it & then retracted his claim (posts 177-180).
Twilight did the same (261 – 263)
Now you….
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TwilightBard
Luteless Bard
Registered: Sep 2008
From United States
Posted May 26, 2011
Well, at this point that's all we got, little bits of information because gleaming anything off of the Fexen lynch is going to be tough. We're also on a time limit now and if we don't dig out SOMETHING, ANYTHING, we're going to lynch someone at the last minute and it's another free NK for the Mafia without anything to show for it.
All I can see that we have as clues to work with are, Nmillar hammering the lynch before fexen could have a chance to claim, Rodzaju's comment on fexen's theory and his attack on Rob's claim, Taleroth's play in day 1, and people pointing at Orryyrro.
Well, only way this is going forward is to start asking questions:
@Rodzaju: Why were you so heavily pushing against Rob's claim that he was a miller? What made him and his thoughts at the time seem suspicious?
@Nmillar: Why throw a vote out like that without much argument? I know we were close to our deadline at that point but we did have some time to make an argument about it.
@Taleroth: What about the Fexen vote did you disagree with?
I see bits and pieces for Orryyrro here and there, but trying to do a reread doesn't seem to get me anywhere for it, can someone explain this one a bit better for me?
Oh, and Unvote, that doesn't seem to be doing me any good right now.
All I can see that we have as clues to work with are, Nmillar hammering the lynch before fexen could have a chance to claim, Rodzaju's comment on fexen's theory and his attack on Rob's claim, Taleroth's play in day 1, and people pointing at Orryyrro.
Well, only way this is going forward is to start asking questions:
@Rodzaju: Why were you so heavily pushing against Rob's claim that he was a miller? What made him and his thoughts at the time seem suspicious?
@Nmillar: Why throw a vote out like that without much argument? I know we were close to our deadline at that point but we did have some time to make an argument about it.
@Taleroth: What about the Fexen vote did you disagree with?
I see bits and pieces for Orryyrro here and there, but trying to do a reread doesn't seem to get me anywhere for it, can someone explain this one a bit better for me?
Oh, and Unvote, that doesn't seem to be doing me any good right now.
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nmillar
↑ ↑ ↓ ↓ ← → ← → B A
Registered: Feb 2009
From United Kingdom
Posted May 26, 2011
I didn't realise at the time it was the hammer vote; we were running pretty short of time, so I just went with the consensus (yes, band wagoning).
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ViolatorX
Personal Jesus
Registered: Oct 2010
From United Kingdom
Posted May 26, 2011
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I will reread the day one action sometime this weekend when i get a chance (BH weekend = tons of work :( ) to see who would likely commit the action but as it stands my fos is still on orry and teleroth who peoples jester paranoia probably saved him on the first day
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Rodzaju
Official Bastard
Registered: Jan 2010
From United Kingdom
Posted May 27, 2011
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I saw it as a convenient excuse for him showing mafia under investigation, much like my claim in game #4.
I still don't see the point of the role, except to diminish the power of a cop role.
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Rodzaju
Official Bastard
Registered: Jan 2010
From United Kingdom
Posted May 27, 2011
Here's a thought.
What if mafia DIDN'T kill Rob?
Maybe they were roleblocked / Doctored / whatever & Rob was killed by someone else (possibly vigilante)...
It has been mentioned several times that it would be better for the town if Rob was Vig killed, rather than waste a vote.
I believe it was Jess who first suggested that he should be vig'ed.
She has repeated this a few times.
Having said that, I'm not convinced that the above scenario is accurate.
I don't see very much in Jess' play to suggest she is anything but town.
BUT she is very experienced player & has probably learned to look town, regardless of actual role. Just as she suggested Nmillar looks scum, even when town.
Which brings me to the only possible tell I've seen from her.
Way back in post 88, in response to my lack of suspects, she suggested Nmillar.
I can see nothing in the game to that point that singled Nmillar out as a suspect.
So, is Jess leading us to expect that Rob is to be Vig'ed to cover mafia hit?
And Jess, what made you suspicous of Nmillar so early on?
What if mafia DIDN'T kill Rob?
Maybe they were roleblocked / Doctored / whatever & Rob was killed by someone else (possibly vigilante)...
It has been mentioned several times that it would be better for the town if Rob was Vig killed, rather than waste a vote.
I believe it was Jess who first suggested that he should be vig'ed.
She has repeated this a few times.
Having said that, I'm not convinced that the above scenario is accurate.
I don't see very much in Jess' play to suggest she is anything but town.
BUT she is very experienced player & has probably learned to look town, regardless of actual role. Just as she suggested Nmillar looks scum, even when town.
Which brings me to the only possible tell I've seen from her.
Way back in post 88, in response to my lack of suspects, she suggested Nmillar.
I can see nothing in the game to that point that singled Nmillar out as a suspect.
So, is Jess leading us to expect that Rob is to be Vig'ed to cover mafia hit?
And Jess, what made you suspicous of Nmillar so early on?
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Rodzaju
Official Bastard
Registered: Jan 2010
From United Kingdom
Posted May 27, 2011
Sorry, forgot to add:
Vote Jesskitten
Vote Jesskitten
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QuadrAlien
Mechfusilier
Registered: Apr 2011
From United Kingdom
Posted May 27, 2011
Hmm... At the risk of sounding slightly obsessive, I have come up with two further arguments towards Orryyrro being scum.
1) I can't help but feel the reasoning for his vote against Fexen (#227) is... well, fudged. It seems to me that it could be twisted into anything as required when questioned.
2) His line "Taleroth is Damnation in disguise" (#136). Now, I've been doing the research into previous GOG Mafia games for this reference, and it occurs to me that Damnation was a Town player who decided to vote against himself, for reasons which still elude me... This implies that you have knowledge on if Taleroth is in the same situation, which in turn indicates that you know the identities of the Mafia.
Therefore, once again,
Vote Orryyrro
1) I can't help but feel the reasoning for his vote against Fexen (#227) is... well, fudged. It seems to me that it could be twisted into anything as required when questioned.
2) His line "Taleroth is Damnation in disguise" (#136). Now, I've been doing the research into previous GOG Mafia games for this reference, and it occurs to me that Damnation was a Town player who decided to vote against himself, for reasons which still elude me... This implies that you have knowledge on if Taleroth is in the same situation, which in turn indicates that you know the identities of the Mafia.
Therefore, once again,
Vote Orryyrro
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Taleroth
Sapient Software
Registered: May 2011
From United States
Posted May 27, 2011
I liked Fexen. Maybe I'm not reading posts in depth enough, but it seemed the lynchtrain started somewhere around him suggesting that a vigilante kill me because I might have been a Jester. An idea previously espoused around the talk that Robbeasy might be Jester. Seemed reasonable both times.
I'll have to go back over the posts. But I never quite caught the reasons so many started turning against him. I probably missed something.
Rodzaju: Here's a thought.
What if mafia DIDN'T kill Rob?
Maybe they were roleblocked / Doctored / whatever & Rob was killed by someone else (possibly vigilante)...
It has been mentioned several times that it would be better for the town if Rob was Vig killed, rather than waste a vote.
I believe it was Jess who first suggested that he should be vig'ed.
She has repeated this a few times.
Having said that, I'm not convinced that the above scenario is accurate. Anything's possible. While this explains why the Mafia would night kill Rob, it would require phenomenal luck on the part of a Doctor or Roleblocker to prevent the Mafia's night kill. I'm not a fan of luck.
But, just for fun, what if there is no mafia? What if Bazilisek is screwing with us and its townies vs. neutral only? Heck, the game did start with Humpty Dumpty falling off a wall. Sounds like an accident to me.
I'll have to go back over the posts. But I never quite caught the reasons so many started turning against him. I probably missed something.
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What if mafia DIDN'T kill Rob?
Maybe they were roleblocked / Doctored / whatever & Rob was killed by someone else (possibly vigilante)...
It has been mentioned several times that it would be better for the town if Rob was Vig killed, rather than waste a vote.
I believe it was Jess who first suggested that he should be vig'ed.
She has repeated this a few times.
Having said that, I'm not convinced that the above scenario is accurate.
But, just for fun, what if there is no mafia? What if Bazilisek is screwing with us and its townies vs. neutral only? Heck, the game did start with Humpty Dumpty falling off a wall. Sounds like an accident to me.
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jesskitten
Catgirl
Registered: Dec 2010
From Canada
Posted May 27, 2011
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What if mafia DIDN'T kill Rob?
Maybe they were roleblocked / Doctored / whatever & Rob was killed by someone else (possibly vigilante)...
It has been mentioned several times that it would be better for the town if Rob was Vig killed, rather than waste a vote.
I believe it was Jess who first suggested that he should be vig'ed.
She has repeated this a few times.
Having said that, I'm not convinced that the above scenario is accurate.
I don't see very much in Jess' play to suggest she is anything but town.
BUT she is very experienced player & has probably learned to look town, regardless of actual role. Just as she suggested Nmillar looks scum, even when town.
Which brings me to the only possible tell I've seen from her.
Way back in post 88, in response to my lack of suspects, she suggested Nmillar.
I can see nothing in the game to that point that singled Nmillar out as a suspect.
So, is Jess leading us to expect that Rob is to be Vig'ed to cover mafia hit?
And Jess, what made you suspicous of Nmillar so early on?
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On a serious note, I tend to agree with your comments about Robbeasy. I'm pretty sure his role claim is a genuine one, but like you say, he can't live to the end game. For the time-being, however, we may as well keep him alive and investigate other people for signs of scumminess (sp?).
Since my vote is already on one of Robbeasy's accusers (Rodzaju), I'll leave it where it is.
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I made an early claim in #4.
Everyone jumped on this as obviously scummy behaviour.
Rob makes an early claim here.
I see this as scummy behaviour.
What's the difference?
But the question that came to mind was, why did you ask Robb (who was voting you) and me (who disagreed but wasn't voting you) why we found it scummy (which I did not), but not nmillar, who also disagreed AND was voting you? That's why I asked you what you thought of nmillar in #88, and your reply in #90 was that,
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Not much so far.
Several posts, but most of them not particularly serious.
Only the last post says anything at all, & that's a fairly wishy-washy "I agree with Jess".
Total read: Vocal, but not saying much.
So far in this game, the only people who have said anything of note have been either attacking or defending Rob.
So in conclusion the reason I queried you on him was that I wanted to see what your view on him was. I did not at all like your answer either, but there were bigger fish to paw at at the time.
---
For the rest of your post, why in the world would I as Mafia want Robb dead? I think Mafia would benefit much more by keeping Robb alive. I would certainly have kept him alive as long as possible as Mafia.
I don't think he was vigged, due to the lack of other nightkill, though who knows for sure. We may not even have one, though there are a couple semi-common roles that would be able to, so it was worth making sure they know that it had to be done at some point unless they were absolutely unwaveringly sure Robb was town. I don't think he should have been vigged on the very first night though, the point was to make sure he wasn't in lylo if the game reached that far, so town wouldn't have wifom from his claim hanging over everything he does.
But without proof to the contrary, that's a dangerous amount of wifom you're trying to throw out, because it looks like a normal NK. Sure it could have happened, and sure perhaps down the road if the doctor is alive and claims in endgame, the list of night actions may shed some light on that, but for now Occam's Razor says otherwise, speculation like that is firstly more likely to mislead town, and secondly isn't far off from trying to doctor-hunt, to make him unable to resist and come out to hint who s/he is and who s/he protected. Whoever the hypothetical doctor protected, odds that they guessed the correct NK target out of everyone available in the pool, coupled with the odds of having a vig who decided to pull the trigger that night, and the lack of any other actions, is rather small. Sure it's possible, but not really useful speculation at the moment because we have not seen anything that indicates such.
And secondly, I like how you start the post with, "I don't see very much in Jess' play to suggest she is anything but town." and then end up with justifying an actual vote anyway. Wait no, I don't like it, it's contradictory and you're saying that because I'm experienced, I'm likely scum even though I look town? Really? Not to mention you say there's only one possible tell (and then immediately list two) and somehow that's a stronger case than on everyone else.
Plus this is only my 4th game of Mafia - 3 on this site and 1 offsite. I've just read a bunch more too.
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Rodzaju
Official Bastard
Registered: Jan 2010
From United Kingdom
Posted May 27, 2011
@ Jess:
My understanding of Nmillar’s vote was that it was RVS vote.
She just decided to leave it there until she had a solid suspect, which she did not at the time in question.
I never claimed you were more suspicious than anyone else. However, I did see a possibility (as described in my post) that you could be suspicious. My vote was more to get a reaction than an attempt to lynch you.
My speculation started from confusion over his death.
As you said, he was not an obvious target for mafia kill.
So, maybe they didn’t kill him.
I then came up with a scenario that fit this idea.
This then led to the Vig speculation, which led to you (as mentioned).
I then thought that, perhaps mafia killed him precisely BECAUSE he was an unlikely target, to sow confusion & misdirection.
Then I saw how the two theories dovetailed.
The tell I saw was:
“Way back in post 88, in response to my lack of suspects, she suggested Nmillar.
I can see nothing in the game to that point that singled Nmillar out as a suspect.”
The main point of my post was that you appear as town, but is this because you are town, or is it just that you have learned to look town.
The 2 questions at the end were intended as just that, questions.
My understanding of Nmillar’s vote was that it was RVS vote.
She just decided to leave it there until she had a solid suspect, which she did not at the time in question.
I never claimed you were more suspicious than anyone else. However, I did see a possibility (as described in my post) that you could be suspicious. My vote was more to get a reaction than an attempt to lynch you.
My speculation started from confusion over his death.
As you said, he was not an obvious target for mafia kill.
So, maybe they didn’t kill him.
I then came up with a scenario that fit this idea.
This then led to the Vig speculation, which led to you (as mentioned).
I then thought that, perhaps mafia killed him precisely BECAUSE he was an unlikely target, to sow confusion & misdirection.
Then I saw how the two theories dovetailed.
The tell I saw was:
“Way back in post 88, in response to my lack of suspects, she suggested Nmillar.
I can see nothing in the game to that point that singled Nmillar out as a suspect.”
The main point of my post was that you appear as town, but is this because you are town, or is it just that you have learned to look town.
The 2 questions at the end were intended as just that, questions.
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Orryyrro
Flying Squirrel!
Registered: Mar 2010
From Canada
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Taleroth
Sapient Software
Registered: May 2011
From United States
Posted May 27, 2011
Maybe I should reserve it for the RVS stage, huh? Because I want to own that.