yogsloth: Let’s look at adalia’s role claim as a 2x2 decision matrix. Either he’s lying or telling the truth, and either he’s town or scum:
Lying/Scum – Brilliant play, this. Desperate as all hell, but a great idea. As dedo notes in post 502, if he is scum, and he escapes day 1 lynch, he has executed a perfect scam as town will be afraid to target him in any way the rest of the game. If you’re a cop, are you going to touch him?
Lying/Town – Gutsy play here. Might escape a lynch if he can convince us he’s telling the truth… but here’s the big problem… Scum will never nightkill him in order to leave a permanent cloud of suspicion… and town will still be afraid to cop/protect/etc. him. Very un-town move here, and would be so selfish, I can’t see this as being a valid scenario.
Truth/Scum – Meaning, he’s a PGO, but scum version. That role would be so massively overpowered for mafia I cannot believe it would be used. Cop investigates him, and the cop dies, but PGOscum escapes unscathed? And town would have no info about what happened… just a dead cop? That would be f***ed up. If you even for a moment thought this was the case, you have to lynch.
Truth/Town – Wiki says “The ideal play for a PGO is to get targeted by the Mafia, while not being targeted by any Town power roles. However, safer play is to claim directly -- this keeps other Town power roles safe, but also ensures the Mafia will not target you.” Well, that didn’t happen. If he really is PGO Town, you want him here until the end, but damn, there might have been a better time to role claim than L-1, eh?
It’s like a little prisoner’s dilemma. Even though the ideal outcome would be that he’s truth/town, there is just too much risk in the other three paths for me to change my vote.
Excellent post, thank you for that.