Of course:
Vitek: I am most concerned with rabbit not using ability on D1. She knew she won't be able to use it 2 next nights and she and town won't benefit from her ability again until Day 6 which is really late. Townie power role should use his/her ability to maximize its effect so why use it again on day you reach only by at least 2 mislynches (if there is 3-player mafia and no SK). On the other hand it's not so necessary for mafia to use ability each night and can't be possible when they need to use another ability.
Eh, look at it, it was meant against Rod originally and ended as attack against rabbit.
I hope it will draw her out of her hole.
Sorry for not replying sooner.
I didn't use it night one.
This was because the likelihood of me finding anything useful with 12 people to choose from and absolutely no data was very low. I did consider examining Pazzer due to the baker thing, but figured if I just got an oven glove or something I would have wasted my ability.
It seemed to me like it was more of a one-shot role, because of the restrictions, and because frankly I didn't expect to survive until D4! In this situation it would have been prudent of me to hold my ability until it had maximum impact.
On N1 (with no lynch) the chances of me stealing from Mafia were 3/11 (assuming there
are three mafia; and not including myself because there would be little to gain from investigating myself, and I'm not mafia- but you can believe what you will about that). I would then have had to have waited until N4 to investigate again, my chances of dying before N4 were 1/12 +1/9 + 1/10 + 1/8 = 0.4(ish) which is almost a half! i.e. I had 50% chance of living to use my ability again; and I would have gained useful information with a probablility of only 3/11; i.e. mafia steal. OR i would have stolen from someone who later died or was lynched before i could investigate again. i.e. 1/9 + 1/12... which is 0.4 again
On N2 with a lynch and more data, the chances were 3/10 of stealing mafia, I saw this as a heftier possibility, when accounting for the probability of me being NKed the next night (1/7). If I survived this the chances of my target being alive the next day were also 1/7 if he were town and 1 if he were mafia (assuming we have no serial killer or vig). This seemed to me like a better risk, plus if i didn't claim I
may have still had the chance of another investigation, whereas if I'd waited until N3 this likelihood plummets.
I'm in no way saying that just because rod survived, he's mafia, by the way. That would be madness.
As it turns out, I did survive to D4, though I now think it likely that I shall be NKed either tonight or the following night because of my ability. but if it has provided any useful information then I'm glad to be a martyr...!
