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Also there is 12 players, 3 mafia, 9 townies.
9 townies consisted of 2(?) masons, 3 confirmed power roles and maybe something more. This is at least 5 special roles out of 9 players. Not so lucky to nail mason and 2 PR's when you look at it this way. It was at least more than 50% chance to kill special role on day 1 and maybe even higher.
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Vitek: First day lynches really are 0/7 here? Wow we are terrible.
I read one mafia game on MTGS last week and there they made research and concluded that they have almost 50% success rate of hitting mafia on day 1.
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Vitek: Not so lucky to nail mason and 2 PR's when you look at it this way. It was at least more than 50% chance to kill special role on day 1 and maybe even higher.
... I'm not sure I believe in percentages any more..!
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littlerabbit: That's fair enough primal. :)

And yeah a Mafia cop or something seems likely, but wouldn't that give the mafia a huge advantage. Do you think joe would have weighted the game more evenly?
:/
Mafia role cop is standard role. On mafiascum.net, which is hub of mafia games, every newbie game contains mafia role cop and I used it in my game too.

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NotFrenchYet: ... I'm not sure I believe in percentages any more..!
You should. ;-) We hadn't exactly chance to prove the first percentage...
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pazzer: Mostly likely in my mind to be mafia are Vitek, Rodzaju and NotFrenchYet. So Vote Vitek.
A while ago, Frenchie said he had a role with an unusual addition.
I can't see scum drawing attention to themselves that way.

Unless it was his inexperience talking, but I don't see it.
Day 1 was dominated by the Bazilisek Xyem argument and day 2 by the Orryyrro saga. So there's very little to go on. Just things don't quite add up for me but then I see mafia everywhere. NotFrenchYet I think has been trying to set people up to be lynched making them look scummy by twisting things. Vitek appears town but seems to always be throwing a spanner in the works. As for Rodzaju his post at start of day 2 glad they didn't hit the doc just stuck in my mind.

But of course I could be completely off base. Would be interested to hear other peoples reads.

@Vitek why are you against a mass claim?

Today is the last day town has the power and as there isn't much info I do think a mass claim may help revel the mafia. In fact i'll claim later even if no one else does.

Not sure if there's much to be gained speculating about why the mafia killed who they did. We will find out anyway at the end of the game.

Personally I though Violator was killed because he brought up Muttly being lyncher. Which if correct pretty much confirmed TwilightBard as town. Then they went after the confirmed townies.Of course it could be they had a rolecop or just luck they hit power roles.
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pazzer: ...
@Vitek why are you against a mass claim?
...
Because I think it could harm town.

How am I throwing spanner?

I'll post my reads later but I'd like to see opinions of others towards claim.
Mainly the whole vig thing. Sure there's other stuff but I don't have it in my notes.

Forgot to do this Unvote Vitek, Vote Muttly
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pazzer: Today is the last day town has the power and as there isn't much info I do think a mass claim may help revel the mafia. In fact i'll claim later even if no one else does.
I dont see how this helps us much either. Other than to reveal any last power roles we may have.

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pazzer: Not sure if there's much to be gained speculating about why the mafia killed who they did. We will find out anyway at the end of the game.
Understand the why and better understand the who.
mason, doc, tracker seems like enough power roles to me. Though you could be right in which case the only thing to do is vote no lynch. But it's a massive risk.
True, but this game seems to have offered some unusual things. I would certainly not go for a nolynch. Whats your rush?
@Rod
SHE! :O

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pazzer: NotFrenchYet I think has been trying to set people up to be lynched making them look scummy by twisting things.
Mm... so you said back on D1. Could you provide an example of my "twisting things" ? I admit my turns of thought are a bit 'particular' at times...

Yes I tried to get Orry lynched. I think I made my reasons clear enough. I was excited and crusading at first because as I said at the time, I was 100% convinced he was scum. Then I started doubting, but not enough to remove my vote. Turns out I was totally wrong... Even what I thought was an unbreakable logical slip turned out to be false.

So... I'm really nervy about drawing any conclusions now, considering the mess of my (first-ever) attempt to scum-hunt. I'm wary of Rabbit and pazzer, and Rod, but I'd need to go back to the thread to be any clearer. If anything, Rabbit is the one throwing spanners with a tendency to throw suggestions around and not follow them up... Even to the point of pointing Primal out as suspicious on what seems like a jokey basis. That doesn't strike me as a very pro-town tactic this late in the game... (( ;P ))

For reference, and to poke discussion, here's the order of votes on the D2 Orry wagon:
Primal (#280),
Frenchie (#283),
Vitek (#286),
Rod (#288),
Rod unvotes (#311),
Rod revotes (416),
Muttly (#419),
Pazzer (#424)
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NotFrenchYet: @Rod
SHE! :O

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pazzer: NotFrenchYet I think has been trying to set people up to be lynched making them look scummy by twisting things.
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NotFrenchYet: Mm... so you said back on D1. Could you provide an example of my "twisting things" ? I admit my turns of thought are a bit 'particular' at times...

Yes I tried to get Orry lynched. I think I made my reasons clear enough. I was excited and crusading at first because as I said at the time, I was 100% convinced he was scum. Then I started doubting, but not enough to remove my vote. Turns out I was totally wrong... Even what I thought was an unbreakable logical slip turned out to be false.

So... I'm really nervy about drawing any conclusions now, considering the mess of my (first-ever) attempt to scum-hunt. I'm wary of Rabbit and pazzer, and Rod, but I'd need to go back to the thread to be any clearer. If anything, Rabbit is the one throwing spanners with a tendency to throw suggestions around and not follow them up... Even to the point of pointing Primal out as suspicious on what seems like a jokey basis. That doesn't strike me as a very pro-town tactic this late in the game... (( ;P ))

For reference, and to poke discussion, here's the order of votes on the D2 Orry wagon:
Primal (#280),
Frenchie (#283),
Vitek (#286),
Rod (#288),
Rod unvotes (#311),
Rod revotes (416),
Muttly (#419),
Pazzer (#424)
Thank you for the vote order; that's a useful reference. Yes I was poking fun at Primal, but I know him, so :P . If I was throwing the spanner in the works it was to try and convince you all NOT to vote orryy- I stated my reasons at the time for believing him innocent, which turned out to be correct.

As for today, as has been iterated already, we have almost no data, nothing to go on. so making clumsy suggestions in the hope that someone will slip up is the best we can do.
Eh, this leads nothing.
I made PBPA of muttly as I see him as one of most suspicious players.

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muttly13: Unvote SirPrimalform, Vote TwilightBard for overusing "we" and laying the groundwork for future claims of "look, I have always supported townies!" to hide his scummy-ness.
Attacking Twilight without no apparent reason, possible RVS.

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muttly13: Yet more deflection. This guy may as well be named Corelone. Get the Rope!!!
Continuing his attacks, still RVS?

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muttly13: Shall we all hug now? Lets getting to lynching. Twilightbard that is...
Again, less likely to be RVS now.

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muttly13: Where is your righteous fury!?!?! Where is your sense of mob justice?!?!?! The queen lays in a pool of her own blood and you jesters banter like academics!! You disgust me. Should you choose to lynch me I will swing into Valhalla as my heart is pure!

TB (I am done typing long names, takes a lot out of you in a rant) at first placed his mild two cents into an argument between others. In my estimation for no other reason than to establish himself as "town friendly". Then deflected my accusation with passing "hes crazy" brush off instead of insulted fury! And continues to play coy as though he can "mature" his way through.

Are these reasons absolute? Of course not, but they are no worse than any other imaginary comments others may come up with. I will bet my town bakery that hes scum to the core! Let the rope tell us!
Attacks him again, definitely not RVS. Softclaims without any reason but we all have done this in G1.
So his reasons are not absolute but muttly is sure Twilight is scum?


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muttly13: I bake bread. Deal with the bakery down the street, they do cakes.
Confirms his claim.


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muttly13: I will take this aside for a second, belive as you will. I mean really, whats the point otherwise? I am not an RP guy at all but if all we were bound to do was sit about waiting for someone to make some oddly percieved grammatical slip up, that doesnt sound like a huge amount of fun. Again not an RP guy, but hey, when in an lynch mob get to your business!
He claimed to speed up lynch of someone?

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muttly13: "Almost"? Meaning you won? I would say you are thinking about this in the wrong way...
Defends against me "random lynch without evidences".

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muttly13: Potentially, much. Were as the potential in no lynch is zero. Orryyrro would have been my day 2 vote barring additional information. That said, I will renge on TB for a bit and switch to O.

Unvote Twiligh, vote Orryyrro
Defends random lynch again but has some merits. Note his targets, either cop or doctor. Most of us felt same about Orry, but he was also "able" to attack doctor.

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muttly13: Why do you suppose they did that... He wasnt particulalry vocal, hadnt a large amount of support behind him, and was a come-lately on in the "more time" argument. Seems an odd choice.
First to ask about Violator's NK. I see nothing interesting.

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muttly13: You didnt mount any "defense". Mostly because my accusations are based on feelings as most of day one would be and frankly, how does one defend "I feel your scum" (but lets not open that timeline can of worms again). But no one seemed to like the RP touches, so I am fine dropping that. And now we have flimsy data to work with instead of urges. So I am happy to work with that.
Asked Twilight to defend himself on D1 and now admits there was nothing to defend against.

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muttly13: See? Pure speculation... :)
Response to Rodzaju on Twilight's town reads.

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muttly13: Hey! I am in the room for gods sake. Anyway, I dont suppose saying "I am not the lyncher" would work? So I will leave it at, I am a townie through and through and cant wait to lynch some scum. Which makes me a lyncher, but in a good way!

Personally I was thinking of looking at the voters who supported Bas quickly. First being me. Yes, I am aware of that. But if you havent figured out yet I am a tad bloodthirsty, well then I dont know what to tell you. I wanted someone lynched day 1 as i thought it was the best course for town, hence my changed vote to O since I also felt he was possible scum.

One person who did stick out for my was Sirprimalform. I thought the whole "I was about to remove my vote..." seems very setup to me. Along the lines of "I was going to pull my vote but didnt get to do it in time, woe is me that townie got lynched!" Again, just a feeling, but a strong one for me.

1 - Follow
2 - Follow
3 - Lost me...
"Admits" he's not lyncher and explains his desire to lynch Twilight as bloodthirst.
Has strong reads against Sirprimalform but doesn't vote this time...

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muttly13: Yes, thank you. Too eager on the reply. Assuming I am not going to be modkilled...

I am not following the logic on what that has to do with O?

Oh, and the other thing about Primal that bugged me was jumping all over joe for being three minutes late on the deadline. I assume hes not that kind of guy so that begs even further the idea hes just positioning "pro town" to me.
Adds another thing against Sir but still no vote...


More is coming in next post 10 minutes later.
Posting so Vitek can continue.
Why wait?
Post away...