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So I have been reading a history book recently about the USSR, and one thing I found interesting is that during the so-called "5-Year Plans" there was a staggering amount of human error involved, as well as corruption, everything that was produced had to be written down on paper with pencil or typewriter, shortages and surpluses were caused if a factory manager put down fraudulent production figures (because too many resources were being put into one thing, or too little).

Anyway, without really starting a huge political debate, does anyone think that in the modern world, with computers and the like, that a planned economy would actually be possible in an efficient sense, if the entire economy's needs were organized by a huge computer system, or will a market economy always be superior.
Post edited November 30, 2014 by Crosmando
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Crosmando: a planned economy would actually be possible in an efficient sense, if the entire economy's needs were organized by a huge computer system, or will a market economy always be superior.
Do you mean a single system organizing the entire global economy?
This question is one of the questions which Metal Gear Solid 4 attempted to answer, and I agree with MGS4's answer. Such a computer-based system would have its own set of horrible problems.
Post edited November 30, 2014 by RoloTony
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Crosmando: So I have been reading a history book recently about the USSR, and one thing I found interesting is that during the so-called "5-Year Plans" there was a staggering amount of human error involved, as well as corruption, everything that was produced had to be written down on paper with pencil or typewriter, shortages and surpluses were caused if a factory manager put down fraudulent production figures (because too many resources were being put into one thing, or too little).

Anyway, without really starting a huge political debate, does anyone think that in the modern world, with computers and the like, that a planned economy would actually be possible in an efficient sense, if the entire economy's needs were organized by a huge computer system, or will a market economy always be superior.
If this huge computer system couldn't be fucked with by human beings then yes. But is it possible for a computer system to be immune from humans messing with it if it's running everything? Humans will desperately try to gain control of it. Because he who controls the machine...controls the world. It would have to be impossible to hack and guarded by an elite army of killer robots. And not the kind of robots from 50s, 60s, 70s science fiction but robots like the Terminator.
Post edited November 30, 2014 by monkeydelarge
Quite possible, and you wouldn't even need too huge a computer. However, you'll need a concerted academic research into building the models and software that runs them, extensive testing and simulations, and of course a willingness for a pilot program somewhere. Which requires political will, which sinks the idea before it ever begins. Because you certainly won't see private funding help out :P

But yes, it's quite possible and would be, once reasonably implemented, superior to a free market, which is inherently wasteful and relies on an overabundance of resources.
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F4LL0UT: Do you mean a single system organizing the entire global economy?
Well I guess you could apply it to that, but I meant more just individual countries.
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Spinorial: Quite possible, and you wouldn't even need too huge a computer. However, you'll need a concerted academic research into building the models and software that runs them, extensive testing and simulations, and of course a willingness for a pilot program somewhere. Which requires political will, which sinks the idea before it ever begins. Because you certainly won't see private funding help out :P

But yes, it's quite possible and would be, once reasonably implemented, superior to a free market, which is inherently wasteful and relies on an overabundance of resources.
There is always kickstarter. :)
The only problem is that "needs and wants" vary and are driven by both cost and advertising - and disruptors like new products. Then there is the Big Brother aspect....
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Crosmando: Well I guess you could apply it to that, but I meant more just individual countries.
Well, the other question is whether you presume that a country governed by such a system could be economically fully self-sufficient. The reason I asked whether you mean a single system covering the entire global economy is because I think that these plans would be highly unreliable if they were dependent on other systems acting in a specific manner.
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Crosmando: Well I guess you could apply it to that, but I meant more just individual countries.
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F4LL0UT: Well, the other question is whether you presume that a country governed by such a system could be economically fully self-sufficient. The reason I asked whether you mean a single system covering the entire global economy is because I think that these plans would be highly unreliable if they were dependent on other systems acting in a specific manner.
You made me realize, such a computer would have to control the world because what good is a computer that controls just one country if the rest of the world won't cooperate with it. Then the computer controlled country will just end up like North Korea.
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F4LL0UT: Well, the other question is whether you presume that a country governed by such a system could be economically fully self-sufficient. The reason I asked whether you mean a single system covering the entire global economy is because I think that these plans would be highly unreliable if they were dependent on other systems acting in a specific manner.
Uh yeah I get you, and I guess because the world economy these days is so interlinked it would need to be done on a global scale, because if on a national level they'd still be external factors like fluctuating prices of imports and exports which would constantly screw with the system.

I don't think it would be possible for any country to be completely self-sufficient these days.
Post edited November 30, 2014 by Crosmando
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monkeydelarge: Then the computer controlled country will just end up like North Korea.
Distrusted and hated but stable and happy, you mean?
Post edited November 30, 2014 by F4LL0UT
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F4LL0UT: Well, the other question is whether you presume that a country governed by such a system could be economically fully self-sufficient. The reason I asked whether you mean a single system covering the entire global economy is because I think that these plans would be highly unreliable if they were dependent on other systems acting in a specific manner.
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Crosmando: Uh yeah I get you, and I guess because the world economy these days is so interlinked it would need to be done on a global scale, because if on a national level they'd still be external factors like fluctuating prices of imports and exports which would constantly screw with the system.

I don't think it would be possible for any country to be completely self-sufficient these days.
I think some countries could pull it off if they turned their back on capitalism but most countries...no.
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monkeydelarge: Then the computer controlled country will just end up like North Korea.
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F4LL0UT: Distrusted and hated but stable and happy, you mean?
What are you trying to say? You trying to insult me or something? North Korea is not stable and not happy. Everyone with a fully functional brain knows this. You basically, called me a retard.
Post edited November 30, 2014 by monkeydelarge
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Momo1991: The only problem is that "needs and wants" vary and are driven by both cost and advertising - and disruptors like new products. Then there is the Big Brother aspect....
Nah, the variation is part of the models. The cost would be controlled by the computer, while advertising... KILL IT WITH FIRE!!!

There really doesn't need to be too much of a BB aspect, either. Individual needs may vary, but the program would focus on the local averages, and manage the distribution of resources as required, with some error overhead. Of course, if the system can be made person-specific, the entire thing can become much more efficient. Google is basically doing it already, for ads, so why not put it to better use?
That would be a horrible idea. There are too many variables involved, no computer in the world will predict wars, disasters, epidemics, etc. with enough accuracy to compensate the plan for the losses. Even if, the idea of a system that suddenly sends messages to people telling them, they need to move, because it wants them to do something else is silly and horryfing at the same time. I'd stick to a as-free-as-it-can-get market economy any day of the week.