Posted June 19, 2014
RWarehall: 3 times - 89 games
4 times - 112 games
5 times - 19 games
6 times - 1 game
Swapper, The
It is looking pretty darn random.
There's definitely a non-random component to it, though. For instance: 4 times - 112 games
5 times - 19 games
6 times - 1 game
Swapper, The
It is looking pretty darn random.
After the first 348 flash offers, there were equal numbers of games set for in their 2nd appearance and for their 3rd round, namely 111 games each. (I'll ignore those few that were already into round 4.) With a totally random selection we'd expect to see roughly equal numbers of both groups in the next handful of games. Instead, the next 50 selections saw 36 2nd-rounders and only 14 3rd-rounders.
The same thing one round later - from the point at which 3rd and 4th round were equal, the next 50 included 33 3rd-rounders and just 14 4th-rounders (plus a few late 2nd's).
In other words, if it was totally random we'd see an even more drawn-out distribution right now, with a bunch more 6-timers and probably already some 7-timers.