catpower1980: I checked my daily newsfeed this morning and came up with the announcement of Adidas building its first "robotized" factory in Germany this year due to the rising wages of Asian workers:
http://www.dw.com/en/adidas-to-sell-robot-made-shoes-in-germany/a-19280669 It just followed the recent news of Wendy's in USA replacing their cashiers by touch-screen kiosks due to rising wages:
http://www.fox32chicago.com/money/142139984-story And naturally in Belgium, I already saw how fast this kind of thing can go as a lot of train stations were closed down to be replaced by a single touch-screen kiosk within two years.
So if you're a student or have a job which don't necessarly require human input, it's time to foresee the upcoming wave of robotization and train yourself in other areas if needed.
We have an antiquated "labor based" economy where everyone needs to get work to survive. This is based on the idea that manpower need is plentiful and you need to motivated the manpower to fill the gaps.
More and more, knowledge based economy will make most non-knowledge based jobs (anything that doesn't require a degree) non necessary and even some less creative knowledge based jobs unnecessary.
Yet, people still need to eat, to be clothed and to put a roof over their heads.
I think there are two main solutions for this dilemma:
- Minimum Guaranteed Income: Enough to guaranteed all the minimum needs (lodging, clothes, food, electricity, decent Internet connection). Then, for any of the luxuries, motivate people to find work.
- Less Hours in a Working Week: If you lower the working week from 40 hours to 20 hours, you'll employ twice as many people. In any profession where there is a surplus of qualified labor, they should just do it.
omega64: Artificial Intelligence?
You don't need real artificial intelligence to replace most unskilled labor.
You just need a well designed experts system and very good pattern recognition.
Forget Skynet, SHODAN and all that crap. We can make software today that doesn't have the creativity and general purpose intelligence of a human being, but that can do their work for them.
Let's face it, a lot of unskilled labor is very menial and dumb. It requires some degree of sophistication to do as far as software systems go (anyone who can design software that can perform these tasks deserves some praise), but certainly nothing remotely resembling full blown consciousness.
Alaric.us: Asking to be paid more money than your skill set is realistically worth == asking to be replaced by a machine.
Only in the private sector. In the public sector, you got a generation of highly unionized overpaid workers that will take a generation to replace with a more efficient system. A lot of their jobs is not about public service, it's about providing a cozy livelihood for them and in many case, they are supervised by a highly paid public 'servant' who is in the same boat so there is no real supervision to speak of.
I agree with the rest of what you said. Give me the reliability of a machine over an employee who would rather be elsewhere any day.
Don't get me wrong, interacting an employee who wants to be there can be highly satisfying, but more often than not, you feel like you're inconveniencing somebody who'd rather be elsewhere and I get it: A lot of those people are underpaid, overworked, work under an *sshole whose gameplan is to make them feel worthless so that they don't stand up for their rights and the job is quite uninteresting to begin with. Many of them are already getting treated like machines, might as well replace them with a machine.
Ghorpm: I have a bad news for you. A lot of lab equipment that I am and/or was using contains a robot arm (to move samples inside a vacuum chamber etc.). More than five times I’ve heard a discussion that it’s sexist because these arms are big and bulky which means they clearly simulating a man’s arm and somebody should produce more delicate and slender robot arms to show that science is not only for man. Seriously.
That's just stupid, machinery is not manly, it's inhumanly strong.
I've been weightlifting for 2 years now. Within a couple more years, I'll have reached my limit (barring a highly skilled personal trainer and a specialized diet) and I'll still be dreaming about lifting anywhere near what your regular grocery store lift can lift.
timppu: Let's pretend for a second that all work that we humans do today could be performed by robots and computers, including medical doctors, building houses, creating games etc. etc. etc. Would that be good or bad news to us humans? At least we would have lots of free time to pursue whatever we want in life.
That's my thought as well, except that many of us are petty children with a tendency to let their caveman ancestry shine through.
Ideas like this are very prevalent in our society:
"I work hard for my money and I subscribe to the myth of the self-made man, why should they get anything for free"
"I own company X and they are not getting squat. Either they do something useful for me or they starve for all I care"
Etc.