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we really mean it this time
the law died at age 51 i doubt it wil be missed

http://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2016/02/moores-law-really-is-dead-this-time/
I read before they were having a hard time around 9nm. it's been slowing down for a while. the next frontier and easy ground once developed is I guess some fort of optronics.
How he thought he could guess the f**kin future in the first place is stupid. Moore your a f**kin idiot, next time leave the thinking to smart people.
Post edited February 12, 2016 by bad_fur_day1
It's been in effect for 51 years (more or less). That's centuries in "Muggle" years. Nothing to complain about.
Adding more transistors as a goal in itself seems exceptionally stupid, but the article appears to be insinuating that that is what the industry has been doing until now, even when it became clear that it no longer brought any particular benefits. That seems... odd.
i thought moore and murphy were brothers
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djranis: i thought moore and murphy were brothers
They are. The more complexity, the more can go wrong.
Actually i'm not the least bit surprised. Ever since processor starts moving into multiple cores instead of just increasing clock speeds in the 2000's i knew we were hitting a technological roadblock already. While they can reduce the size of the transistors, trying to dissipat the heat generated by such nano-transistors will always be a big problem.

The smaller they get, the less stable they will become as well. This proves that technology do hv their limits, @ least that wat i predict for the nx few yrs anyway. Until they get a major breakthru in achieving more compact processor while maintaining stability we will not see much improvement in clock speeds. However, efficency of the multi-cores can still be further improved so i believe that's where the research shd & wld be focused on.

Lastly, i just want to say it was great while Moore's Law last. We hv witnessed great technological improvements by leaps & bounds while it was being followed. However, it was never a scientific formula to be strictly followed @ all cost so it was bound to be broken. Even if not now it wld still be 'dead' @ some time in the near future. So 'R.IP' Moore's Law, may the future brings us even more improvements notwithstanding the slowdown in any technological advancements. :)
Next step is VR, wish I was born today, just Imagine what gaming will be like in 50 years time [I won't be around]

and maybe Holodeck, like in star trek.
Post edited February 12, 2016 by Cavenagh
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tomyam80: [...]
This proves that technology do hv their limits, @ least that wat i predict for the nx few yrs anyway.
[...]
I predict the English written language will loose all their vowels and words longer then 5 letters in the next 10 years.
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tomyam80: [...]
This proves that technology do hv their limits, @ least that wat i predict for the nx few yrs anyway.
[...]
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amok: I predict the English written language will loose all their vowels and words longer then 5 letters in the next 10 years.
already happend just look at text speak or twitter
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Cavenagh: Next step is VR, wish I was born today, just Imagine what gaming will be like in 50 years time [I won't be around]

and maybe Holodeck, like in star trek.
How will you power it if Moore's law is dead though?

With VR, it'll be natural to want a larger field of view and generally higher resolution, as well as more detail. It'll take a lot of pixels.
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tomyam80: [...]
This proves that technology do hv their limits, @ least that wat i predict for the nx few yrs anyway.
[...]
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amok: I predict the English written language will loose all their vowels and words longer then 5 letters in the next 10 years.
Waste of energy & resources.. :P
So people are just ignoring the potential of photonic, quantum and 3D processors?
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bad_fur_day1: How he thought he could guess the f**kin future in the first place is stupid. Moore your a f**kin idiot, next time leave the thinking to smart people.
I believe your vitriol is misplaced. From my understanding, Moore never said "This is a law and this is how it wil be". He merely observed that this was the way the industry seemed to be behaving. The industry ran with it as a goal to strive for and adhere to, so it was the Semiconductor Industry Association that were the fusking idiots in this case, when they started publishing international tech roadmaps based on Moore's obsevation.