Thanks for the bump, bler. Boy, are you going to be disappointed.
So… my top candidate who actually pings my Scumdar?
bler.
It all started with him writing the OJ Simpson “
If I did it” style post:
bler144: But 'twere I scum, it would be a very risky way to play, especially for a new player, than something more akin to Sage's style. I certainly haven't been afraid to say "Hey, look at me!" repeatedly. Were I scum, I almost certainly would have been far better just saying "Sorry! I'm the newb!" early on and then shutting the hell up in this thread and saving the chatty Cathy bit for scumchat. And I probably would have had the rest of the mafia team talking me out of continuing to draw this much attn, since, y'know, they chat.
Now, both Wyrm and Kryspyn caught the same thing I did and both thought it unimportant. First, I dislike “if I WERE Scum” posts because I think they do exactly what I felt Wyrm was doing Day… putting on a false front of scumminess in order to try and hide actual scumminess.
The real issue here, however, is the slip that Scum chat during the Day.
They do?
Bler is a new player, correct? Where would he get this impression from? Let’s start with the often-referenced
wiki. From there, we see:
As part and parcel of being an informed minority, the members of the Mafia nearly always know who each other are. They may also speak to each other privately at Night, either via PM, instant messenger, or a specialized chat thread set up by the moderator.
In every single game I’ve been involved in, either as a player, assistant mod, or observer… plus previous games I’ve reviewed… Scumchat is only open at Night… except one. In the very last game, Scumchat was open during the Day… an event so unusual and strange, that the moderator actually took the time in inform the entire set of players that this would be the case beforehand. After all, Scumchat being open during the day – you would think – would have the potential to be so unbalancing that the setup that included it as a feature also demanded that all players be made aware of it at game start, as the counter-balance. Unless I’m way off base, I just don’t see that being a feature used very often… and I think it would be unfair to have Scum chat during the Day in secret… but bler seems awfully certain, here, doesn’t he?
So, you say to me, “But yog! He’s a new player, so he was just studying the last game, so that’s all he knows! That’s his only frame of reference!” Oh, OK. So why, then, does he say this:
yogsloth: Gee, I hate to throw a spanner in the works at this stage... but... they do, bler? During the Day? You sure about that?
bler144: My impression was that they did in the last game, though I didn't carefully check time stamps compared to the main thread or anything.
So he doesn’t know if they chatted during the Day or not, eh? This is the game he’s been studying? Does anybody remember what happened in Day 1 of that game? Whether or not Scum chat during the day just happened to be a topic with just a liiiiiiitle bit of conversation surrounding it. Anybody who was there will remember just how contentious it was. There is absolutely no way anybody could read that game and not know. Bler is backpedaling here.
You know, we blast and grind away on each other all the time in early Days here for little turns of phrases, or 1st person vs. 3rd person, and all other kinds of little crap. But this, to me, is what an
actual Scum Slip looks like.
If bler didn’t know if scum chat was open during the Day in the last game, and there’s essentially no precedent for that being the case, why is he so casually confident it’s open now? If he’s not participating in Scum chat, what basis of information could he possibly be using to be so sure it’s open during the Day? This game is already full of crazy shit: arsonist, zombie, incompetent… god knows what else. I could believe as a further over-complication Vitek might choose to have Scumchat open during the Day, but I sure wouldn’t assume it… and there is no way a brand-new player would assume it either if he didn’t know about the last game.
Still… I held off. I backed off of this, especially as I was waiting to see if Wyrm flipped Scum. If he did, I would probably have fished this out first thing in Day 2 if a wagon on JMich didn’t roll. It’s been grating on my nerves, however.
And then, of course, today we get this:
bler144: I don't see anything either. I was going to go peruse my PM but chat isn't working for me either.
That said, the major flaw to me in that theory would seem to be that what's to keep anyone from just saying "My PM says
I totally love town and town loves me.
Wouldn't hurt a fly, no-siree.
I mean, that is really roughly what my PM says, and you know it's real because it rhymes. I guess the point is, why would anyone whose flavour isn't gung-ho town either not just post at all, or change it to something bland?
… because that’s why I suggested this exercise in the first place. I thought it very humorous and strange that my PM
wasn’t so bland and one-sided. It occurred to me that if there is a big city mentioned in other PMs, Scum might assume it was all-or-nothing. They might assume a Townie PM is all “I love the Town, I hate the City and everything else”. Anybody who shared info on their PM that was that cut-and-dry was going to get an eyebrow raise from me. Not enough to be a complete Scum tell, of course, but one more piece of data. It’s what I was fishing for from the get-go. Not for roles! For flavor just like this. It’s also why when I see this:
CSPVG: I moved away, putting my life here behind me, because the town was headed in a direction that I didn't like. I have only returned to see if my former home is in any way better. Having arrived, I see that the town is no different than what I remember it being, but I've decided to stay and attempt to make it better because I still like my home town and want it to be the best town it could possibly be.
CSPVG was the first guy to respond, and even gave more info than I did. If he were Scum, don’t you think he would do what bler suggests, and change his info to “yay town!” across the board? But he didn’t. His character is delightfully complex, just like mine! And he jumped in and shared this without anyone else to compare against, other than me, and I was less forthcoming that he was! (In fact, I intentionally softened something important.) For reference, this was me:
yogsloth: So here’s me: (all paraphrasing, of course) I love this town and love talking about it. I have a somewhat eclectic but harmless hobby. I am aware of a nearby metropolis, and I admire it, but I don’t like it for two very specific reasons.
If CSPVG is Scum, it’s an almost unthinkable risk to share this much information up front and potentially be dead wrong. But bler, on the other hand, cruises right by and tells us that his PM is so rosily pro-town it could be a nursery rhyme… exactly as I think Scum would assume they needed to do.
So. There you have it.
Am I infallible? Am I telling you all I’ve cracked the code? No, look, obviously not. I am totally… TOTALLY… aware of how tough this is and how bad I look after Day 1. I am not 100% certain of anything. Maybe these are all just coincidences and I’m totally off. The only vote bler has on him is from RWarehall, for the crime of a compliment… but yes, that’s kind of off, too. I’m just stuck – I flat-out don’t know what I can be doing differently right now, because hanging back in the shadows letting other people do the work is just something I can’t do. I don’t know how to not push, push, push. I mean… (WARNING – LAMIST statement incoming, if you are easily offended, please turn away) Krypsyn talks about “managing your meta” and I get a little panicky inside, because this doesn’t even occur to me, and I know the time is going to come when I get to be on the other team and I’m not going to have a damn clue how to do it because all I do is barrel around running into shit all day and hoping I break the right stuff. For now, I can only do what I know how to do and play my style, because it’s all I’ve got. If I’m wrong and full of crappy conspiracies – so be it. If you think it’s Scummy of me, so be it. I just can’t stand by the punchbowl… I gotta dance, baby! (/LAMIST)
I’m not even dropping a vote yet. Barring any other unforeseen developments, though, this is where I’m going.
I would very much like to know why Leonard is refusing to be helpful. I would very much like to know where bler got his ideas on what Scum are doing at night and what his PM is like.
Then we’ll see.
God help us all.