gooberking: I think there is an issue of momentum here. I don't personally care which distro it is, but by steam having chosen one (that I think is a reasonable choice) they have started something. What I don't want to see is several commercial groups picking different distros. At that point the any idea of standardization is out the window and the platform starts moving again without any way to stop it. It is feasible for a person to install an extra distro along side their chosen one, but it's a big huge, ugly problem if they had to install 3 or 4 just to cover what is going on. At that point there is no hope of there being a public standard and we go back to counting on finding a way to make them all work together.
shmerl: Firstly I personally don't consider Steam's choice to be the best possible. Secondly, there is no point to "standardize" it in such way. We aren't talking about standards or making standards, we are talking about preferences of a particular vendor (in this case Steam). If there is a better choice, GOG can go that way, no matter what Steam does. Thirdly as I said above, going with Debian will cover Ubuntu too, so that wouldn't be far apart from what Steam does, but on the other hand would bring more benefits, since Debian has more downstream derivatives than Ubuntu itself and it's a better meta distro for this scenario.
Something doesn't need to be "the best choice" in order to be what ends up being on top, somethings just end up on top, and if there is nothing horrifically wrong that thing I don't personally want to inject conflict into a messy situation.
IF fragmentation is (and some argue it isn't) a problem then conflicting vendor preferences is a problem complicating a problem, and disharmony on top of disharmony. Consumers aren't going to be willing to chase vendor preference around the block anymore than GOG is willing to chase our distro preference around it. It's all a muddled mess a lot of people just are terrified of getting into. Even if the perception is worse than the reality, perception becomes reality and nothing happens. We all just go back to our assorted corners of a world with a very large number of corners.
If the Linux community has any interest in letting in the commercial world, then I think it needs to be willing to let there be some kind of stable side to the world to develop for. Since it is so open we are constantly getting full access to every change and variation, and that has its down sides. I'm not saying people should have to give up their pet distros or lose access to what is current. I am saying there should be some place in the Linux world where people can go without the constant sound of jackhammering, and the need for dodging orange cones. I will go as far to say that if we don't come up with such a place then it will be a huge impediment to getting people like GOG on board, and commercial growth will continue to be the frazzled mess it has been thus far.
Unfortunately I don't think the Linux community has any say in what that might be. It is up to the vendors to decide what they are willing to do, and the only thing we can do to help is not fight them just because we would have made different choices.
Of course I don't know that any of this is true, and I kind of hope I am wrong because I don't see people as being willing to compromise in such a way. I'd like to think that we will get there(wherever that is) without having to change the environment, but I have a difficult time picturing it.