That...actually makes a fair bit of sense. That said, the logical follow-up question is whether this Serifis person knows this information from the original poster/leaker or if they're just guessing.

Correct, there is no retail version of Oblivion that requires Steam. Having said that, it wouldn't be the first time that GOG would release a sequel before the first game. Some examples:

Broken Sword 2+3 before Broken Sword 1
Earthworm Jim 3D before Earthworm Jim 1+2
Jack Keane 2 before Jack Keane
King's Quest 4+5+6 before King's Quest 1+2+3
Space Quest 4+5+6 before Space Quest 1+2+3
Warlords: Battlecry 3 before Warlords: Battlecry 1+2
Warrior Kings: Battles before Warrior Kings

Ideally Oblivion won't show up *too* long after Skyrim.

One other thing that's kind of bothering me: it was mentioned that Red Alert + Counterstrike might be showing up, but there's nothing about The Aftermath. [url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Command_%26_Conquer:_Red_Alert#Counterstrike_and_The_Aftermath_.281997.29]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Command_%26_Conquer:_Red_Alert#Counterstrike_and_The_Aftermath_.281997.29[/url] Does anyone have a guess as to why this might be?

Assuming this is true and the poster didn't make a mistake/omission (like the confusion above of Might and Magic with Ultima), I doubt it's a legal reason as EA has sold the Aftermath expansion in at least two different compilations, so that leaves us with a technical reason, which I also have trouble believing as there have been numerous ways to make Red Alert and its expansions run on modern systems.

I seriously doubt it's true. This "secret forum" just doesn't exist, that much is pretty obvious. For the rest, that leaves two possibilities :

1It's still a real leaked program. Which would mean that the games are coming, but the dates will change, because reasons (legals, practicals, technicals... you know the drill : no plans resist contact with the ennemy, you can't be sure of what will release more than 9 months before). Which also means that this list is pretty useless as is in fact.

2 It's fake, but it will still be right around 30 to 50% of the times. Why ? Because the stock of old games availlable, and in particular coming from big pubs, is now drastically reduced. Therefore this list is bound to have some titles and some pubs right.

Either way, I don't feel like there is much going on with this. The leak coming from SCPM is far more interesting, because they are assured.

Edit April 24, 2016: I made a thread and will not be updating this post. The thread is here.

I've made myself a text file to follow how this list will fare in the future. I'm sharing it for people that like a little bit more order in their lives. And want to follow the "truthfulness" of this list. ;)

Spring

Released:
Battlestation Harbinger
Deponia Doomsday
Grim Dawn
Hyper Light Drifter
Moon Hunters
Obscuritas
Samorost 3

On upcoming list:
Cornerstone The Song of Tyrim

Alekhine's Gun
Balrum
Better Late Than Dead
Buildnauts
Bus Simulator 16
ChromaGun
Disgea PC
Lemmings Deluxe Edition (Amiga Remastered)
Life in Bunker
Shadow of the Beast Collection (Amiga Remastered)
Sins of a Solar Empire Trinity
Switchcars
The Count Lucanor
The Culling
Town of Light
Trulon the Shadow Engine
Warlords
Warlords II

Summer

On upcoming list:
Crawl
No Mans Sky
Offworld Trading Company

BlazBlue Chronophantasm Extended
Command and Conquer Remastered Collection (June 2?)
Emperor Battle for Dune
Fallout 3 (May 17?)
Feary Tale Adventure (Amiga Remastered)
Heart of Darkness
Kings Quest (2015)
Railroad Tycoon Deluxe
Red Alert Classic Edition (June 2?)
Sim Ant
Skyrim Legendary Edition (May 17?)
Star Trek - Birth of a Federation
Stronghold 2 HD
Subnautica
Tales of Zestiria
Theme Park World
Transport Tycoon Deluxe
Ultima X Ascension
Utopia Creation of a Nation (Amiga Remastered)
Warhammer Arcane Magic
X-Com Enemy Unknown

Fall

On upcoming list:
Nekro

Black and White Expanded Edition
Black and White 2 Expanded Edition
Cities Skylines
Commander and COnquer Tiberian Sun
Civilization 2 Collection
Dune HD Remastered
Dune II (A Building of a Dynasty - Amiga Remastered)
Fable, Anniversary Edition
Full Throttle Remastered
Sim City Classic
Sim Earth
Sim Life

TBA

On upcoming list:
Shadow Warrior 2

Fable II Remastered
Portal Knights
The Sims Collection
Universim, The
Warcraft

If you see any mistakes, PM me the corrections and I'll change the info. I thought about doing the same with SCPM's list in the unofficially confirmed thread (and every other game listed there), but then there were buts.
But, I kind of want to easily see the progress of this list and mixing it with another could make it tougher (though this could potentially be overcomed).
But, in the unofficially confirmed thread not sure how far I'd go backwards in the posts to add games to the list.
And the biggest BUT (no, not the one Sir Mix-A-Lot talked about) would it hurt GoG and their ability to bring games here? I'm of the mind that SCPM's list and this here list might have consequences for GoG (and us) and I don't want to hurt our chances to have games added here.
It'd also be a timesink, plus the people "leaking" the info might not want them reorganised or reshared (though a link to the post where it was first said could alleviate that).
Meh, just thinking out loud here. Anyway, enjoy the list I'll edit it when things change. Have a good day.

Thank you for the convenient list, metricfun (by the way, I can't help but wonder if your nickname implies you're fond of this kind of thing XD).

As for your question, I seriously doubt this or SCPM's lists, even if they turn out to be (relatively) accurate, will have any sort of impact whatsoever. Even leaving aside that it's doubtful that anyone other than great enthusiasts pays that much attention to rumours/unofficial information regarding future GOG releases, having some of those releases leaked isn't going to have any impact on GOG's negotiations. After all, the primary concern for both parties involved is whether it's going to make them money and help expand their business. The primary reason why this information is kept private is because they don't want to dissatisfy their customers in case something doesn't work out before the deal is finalised and executed.

The validity of the list and the possible impact it has are two different things. Just because it may effect negotiations, doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

Having said that, I take it with a grain of salt. Even if it is partly accurate, those times are certainly going to be SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Yes, but his question was that whether the lists are going to have an impact on GOG's ability to obtain games. I was merely explaining why that isn't likely to be the case.

It was as non-descriptive a nickname as any. ;) I can live with chaos and don't need to make everything into lists. I did make this one out of curiosity and for my own benefit. (Did the same with SCPMs') Decided to post this one. Glad you found it convenient.

I'd tend to agree, mostly because if it did hurt their business I'd assume they'd reach out to leakers and ask them to stop. Plus it's often games that have been released elsewhere for some time. Then again, I'm often wrong when I assume.

I doubt that this will released here, especially in the light of that this will fuel the fire of all "I want Diablo on GOG" fanatics.

Blizzard Entertainment never released digitally any game of their portfolio without ties to Battle.Net. Though there are some freebies, for downloading you still need a battle.net account. It would make no sense from a business perspective to offer downloads from another platform they do not have full control over, even in the light of "free advertisment". Currently, these freebies promote the battle.net platform, so what is the benefit offering them elsewhere? Blizzard has more than enough money and this would only dilute their control over their property for some peanuts?

Money is money. Then again they are "control freaks" about their game. I personally have no expectation of ANY game releases from this list (or SCPMs') coming here. I just love to follow how accurate they will end up being with their leaks. If we get Warcraft? "Huzzah!" for the people waiting for it (I might consider buying it). If we don't get it I personally don't care much.

I think one could say the same thing about EA's games - why would they let GOG release their older games here when they could fix them up themselves and keep them exclusive to Origin? (Perhaps because in 2011 EA thought the "good will" could help Origin grow, or something like that?)

I honestly don't think these "leaks" could affect GOG at all.
On the contrary! It helped raise a good lot of hype.

People like me have been expecting (and also been disappointed) for the time's taking to get Fallout 3 and Oblivion here. The recent leaks have brought us more hope and could also prevent some users from buying their games elsewhere due to thinking they'll never get on GOG.