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flubbucket: I agree somewhat.

However I'm curious how you "know" which one to Vote.
Repeating Myself Time!

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PookaMustard: If I vote one, I bring him to L-2, and besides he hasn't been on for nearly 24 hours now. The other would be brought up to L-3, and was the one to worry me since D1 and continues to do so.
Or in other words:

Microfish hasn't appeared in the last 24 hours and is now sitting at L-3 (two votes)
Scene is more active and before I voted him, he was sitting on L-4 (one vote).

Both worry me. Were it up to me, I'd vote for both. But since scene was sitting at only one vote, I added my vote on him.

That's...literally it.
D3 will end 11pm UTC Friday.
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supplementscene:
Could you answer the two questions I asked you in #776?
Vote Count

(When you see a vote count please quickly make sure your vote is against the correct player. Let me know if it's not)

Microfish 2 - Joe, scene
scene 2 - Microfish, Pooka
Joe 1 - Bookwyrm
flub 1 - trent

Everyone else - 0
Not voting: flub, gogtrial, dedo

9 players. Takes 5 to lynch.
Sorry guys meant to do a bigger read but had a few business crisis pop up this week.
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supplementscene: Why is Flub your most likely Scum? What differences do you note in his Scum and Town games?
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trentonlf: My stance from here is still what I believe. Nothing has changed my view on them.
Fair enough. Do you currently have any suspicions of any other players? Specifically what do you think of JoeSapphire?

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supplementscene: He seems scummy from loads of his posts. He has claimed a role that there's a 95% probability isn't in the game.
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gogtrial34987: I know hindsight is difficult, but would you have voted GR if you'd properly understood that there was a 30% chance that it was in the game?

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supplementscene: Why has Joe's wagon grown so fast? I was clearly in favour of it yesterday and it seems convenient 2 players have jumped on it today with discussing my speculation. Interestingly the 2 players who are on this wagon also came into hammer our Roleblocker. I know I did 2 and that's hypocritical because I believe Town should be responsible enough to hammer but why did they only come in at the end? I will go back and re-read.
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gogtrial34987: I like the question you start with.
Given your reread, could you do a most-to-least scummy list from your PoV?
1. I'd have to because we get some info from the lynch. There were quite a few reasons for the lynch other than the roleblocker. Gogtrials point about Gamerager not interracting with SPF made me believe Gamerager was less likely to flip Mafia, while I hoped he would.

2. I won't give that list just yet but nearer deadline for several reasons. But I've obviously revealed my suspicion of towards JoeSapphire and Microfish.
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supplementscene: 2. I won't give that list just yet but nearer deadline for several reasons. But I've obviously revealed my suspicion of towards JoeSapphire and Microfish.
Fair enough, though please be explicit about those reasons when you do share the list.

Can you, however, already share how you currently read me, and in particular what made your read of me change from being your top-scum pick yesterday? (As in, did others jump ahead, or did you see something town about me, and if so, what was that?)
Vote Scene

I am unsatisfied.
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gogtrial34987: Fair enough, though please be explicit about those reasons when you do share the list.

Can you, however, already share how you currently read me, and in particular what made your read of me change from being your top-scum pick yesterday? (As in, did others jump ahead, or did you see something town about me, and if so, what was that?)
Personally, (and I just got here, haven't read the backlog yet) that his vote on me is largely because I have heavily focused on him. i believe his is scum, and as scum, he wants me out of the way; in the slim chance that he might be town, he's tired of me attacking him.
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JoeSapphire: Scene can't be mafia because he claimed vanilla town early for no reason and has appeared to draw town conclusions
Any of those reasons you remember in particular for me to check up on?

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JoeSapphire: I guess my list currently looks like

MOST TOWNY
^
Gogtrial
SupplementScene
Dedo
Pooka
Bookwyrm
Trent
Microfish
Flub
v
LEAST TOWNY
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JoeSapphire: I would support these wagons:
Trent
Flub
Microfish

I will not join these wagons:
Gogtrial
Pooka
Supplementscene
Joe
Did dedo go down, or did Pooka go up between these two posts? Why?
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supplementscene: As for my guess, I assumed Doctor was the only remaining role that could block Mafia NK. It sounds like you know differently and are hinting at a role?
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dedoporno: You assumed that the Doctor protected himself which the rules strictly forbid.
As an aside here for those who weren't there: mafia!scene claimed doctor in #55 (which was C9++ "with a twist"), and wasn't able to answer the question if he could self-protect at that point.
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supplementscene: Why is Flub your most likely Scum? What differences do you note in his Scum and Town games?
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trentonlf: My stance from here is still what I believe. Nothing has changed my view on them.
Does this imply that you still town-read scene as in #547? Have you seen any town-signs from him since then which you could share?
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gogtrial34987: Any intent to clarify this?
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Bookwyrm627: Let's walk through a scenario together, now that a/the Town RB is dead.

Pretend that we hadn't lynched GR D2, so we still don't know his alignment. He says he's going to block Scene (claimed vanilla). No kill occurs during the Night. What do you do? What do you think happened?
Most likely: scene is lone mafia, GR successfully RBed without scene being able to do anything about it. We lynch scene, we win. Scene must be lone mafia in this scenario, otherwise the other one would've performed the kill. Letting the goon SPF do the kill on N1 while he sits pretty also makes sense.
Less likely given knowledge of the game state, but still quite possible in the overall scheme of things: a Doctor or other roleblocker prevented the kill; we'll mislynch scene unless this other person steps forward (which a 1-shot roleblocker might do, just in order to corroborate the existence of a roleblocker, and share the info that if scene is a mislynch, then his target would be a very probable correct lynch instead).
Theoretically possible but unlikely: mafia held their kill in order to get scene and probably then also GR mislynched.
Ah.

That took a moment for the implication of your question to sink in. Hrm, but that means we're dealing with... It explains...

No, wait. Clarify the original question please?

Meanwhile, here's my current list, in order (working out which side is which is left as an exercise for the reader):
* scene: I am concluding that his "5%" was too wilfully ignoring the posts where it had been pointed out that it was 30%, and that he's banking on his usual playstyle and lack of reading providing cover for this. His "If you can direct me otherwise I'll look at my vote again" and then not doing so screams scum to me. Plus everything else. My one point of hesitation is SPF's behaviour toward him, but hell, that might've been coaching after all.
* flub: As I wrote in a roundup post yesterDay, he was far too instrumental in both blotunga and GameRager's wagons, and he not usually that wrong. I'd "cleared" him to myself yesterDay based on SPF's lack of meaningful posts directed toward him, but am putting less trust in that now.
* Joe: My main case against him was that I'd cleared everyone else, leaving him as the one remaining player without a town read. I'm still quite hesitant about him. I like how he remembered why he first thought that Pooka was trustworthy, though that's tempered by the questioning which led to it.
* dedo: How much do I trust a fading moment of clarity where I was completely convinced that I'd recognized scum? I really like the effort put into #778, and that he did that wagon analysis at the exact moment that I myself was starting in on it myself. Tiny voice in the back of my mind wondering if it's meaningful that this sign of effort came after I suspected him? Probably not - I'm not that important in the whole of things.
* microfish: I like that - and how - he suspected me. SPF didn't interact with him at all. He might move above dedo, though, and maybe even above Joe, as I find my reasoning about him pretty thin.
* bookwyrm: I'll keep suspecting him in the back of my mind until the very end, but I'll trust that there's too many experienced players reading him as town for them all to be his buddies.
* trent: He's a very strong mafia player, but I really don't see him being anything other than town.
* Pooka: He put in a significant amount of early effort trying to solve the game; I particularly like his roundup posts on the interactions between me and scene ( #279 and #282), but that wasn't the only time I remember him going above and beyond. He currently seems to be flaundering a bit, but I recognize that from myself in my first few games. As with dedo, I'm a sucker for seeing people doing a lot of work as town, but if he did this that early as scum (without any scum buddy since then pointing it out in order to give him town points), he deserves to win. I'm nearly at the point of suspecting those who don't townread him (Bookwyrm). Also, SPF didn't interact with him.
* gogtrial: That's me. Once again universally town-read, and not even Joe is questioning it. (I was still holding out hope for scene being the lone exception, but it seems he's not willing to share just yet, and of course now that I've put him at the top of my list, and might achieve the coveted 4th position on his wagon (L-1... should I?), chances are that he will be...)
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JoeSapphire: This makes me think Micro is scum.

This makes me think micro is town.

This is an unexpected reaction, but I don't know what to make of it.

Do you want me to?

I'm not voting for bookwyrm because I think his rally against a town powerrole refusing to acknowledge the positives to NOT lunching that powerrole was too audacious for scum.

Bookwyrm, Dedo, Trent - in the last game we played it got mentioned a few times that Bookwyrm's scum game is quite obvious and easily recognisable to Yogsloth and dedo among others. I've been assuming that tearing out of the woodwork thirsting for town roleblocker's blood is something that mafiesque bookwyrm wouldn't do. Is that the case?

Ugh. Overall I think I want to unvote microfish.

Oop, yeah I remember this...
1) Joke/sarcastic OMGUS, my vote was quickly removed as soon as someone else gave reason for me to vote them. It was a poke to see your reaction.
2) Lift hisself said [para] "NEVER LIE! ONLY SCUM HAVE A REASON TO LIE! VOTE ALL LIARS!"[/para] I took this into account when GR couldn't provide the evidence to back up his claims.
4) It was a mild question seeking opinions. Nice observations, and I think i would agree that no scum would advocate for not killing a town PR.
4b) You should, if you haven't already as I write this.
5) Thank you for remembering this. Sadly, 'tis true.

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PookaMustard: Now to be fair to scene, you, Microfish, have played with him while both of you were scum in Secret Hitler. Not Mafia, but the premise of "clueless majority versus informed minority trying to hide among the clueless majority" is present in both games. He probably took that game into account as well.

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Microfish_1: I don't recall you being in favor of Joe's wagon, maybe a reread will show it.
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PookaMustard: The entirety of the GameRager saga began with scene voting Joe followed by GameRager (who thought scene was scum) voting Joe!

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supplementscene: Re-reading and I think Joe is Mafia:

<...scene's reasons, sea original post...>

VOTES JOESAPPHIRE
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PookaMustard: followed by...three posts later:

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GameRager: Vote JoeSapphire

(Be aware that I am doing it mainly to see if you are scum trying to get town lynched, and if he is proven town and gets lynched I will have my sights on you the next day)
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PookaMustard: Now I'll grant you that scene wasn't on Joe's wagon at EOD, instead opting for GR. But I mean, come on, scene initiating the Joe wagon was the precursor to GR and his weird play.

Honestly, I'm not sure which of you two worry me more.
1. Eh, he says he didn't.
Thank you for the recap & clarification. I had forgotten when I was half-asleep writing the post you quoted.

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Bookwyrm627: snip, snip.
It was a joke. I'm sorry you didn't pick up on it.

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JoeSapphire: - his saying blahblahblahblah and refusing to engage logically with me I did take personally, despite him telling me not to.
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Bookwyrm627: I'm cool with talking and new ideas up until around 24 hours before deadline. I'm not cool with someone tossing something new out there right at deadline; all too often it leads to a confused scramble and pushes the risk of No Lynch way up.

If you want to propose things like No Lynch, then don't do it when we're up against the deadline. Do it when there is time to actually talk about it, and scum have to actually work at responding instead of taking advantage of EOD confusion and rush.

If you want to push someone close enough to lynch that they'll claim, then try not to wait until deadline to do it. Etc.
This.

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JoeSapphire: AHA I found it. It was Pooka's alarm that supplementscene's wagon grew to 5 strong in a short space of time early Day 1.

You remember? And then he warned blotunga off it, and blotunga stepped back and then we all lunched blotunga and it turned out blotunga was town and Joe was wrong? And then SirP and Carr got shot. Ah those were simpler times...


Do I still think that Pooka must be town based on that? Hm... I wouldn't like to say he's incapable of a complex deception, but it would be so easy to turn a blind eye or take a less strong hand in the matter.

Microfish - how's Pooka's Secret H game? Has he been practising outwardly L appearance to disguise his F nature a lot lately? Or anything?

I bumped dedo up a bit after his response to me about bookwyrm. I got thinking "okay I'll trust dedo's read" and then I thought "why??" and then I thought "I just do."

^ The brain of Joe, quantified.
Sadly, I've only played with Pooka as L, never as H. Thus, I can't really answer. We ran around in circles, and I played horribly. However, FWIW, he seems like he is playing similarly--if far less active--then he did in the 3-week SH game. I think. Enough that I read him as town.

Why do you trust Scene so much? As I illustrated earlier, his logic is leading him to erroneous conclusions. The logic train just doesn't make it. Or, he's scum and desperately trying to get a townie executed. I can see zero other alternatives.

Why base you trust of blot off of "I just do?" Are you masons together? (If you are scum, please trip up and blurt it out. That would be extremely helpful, kind, and the jolly-good right thing to do. Thanks.)

FWIW, when I don't have solid suspicions, I try to just nose around calmly and inoffensively, gathering data from the on-deck circle. I only step up to the plate when I have what I feel are solid evidences or suspicions.

@Pooka, when I was F, if you recall, I was attacking Zeo (I also have a hard time seeing him as a sheep, but whatever) from the get-go. I was swinging from the very start, trying to sow confusion in discord. This time I didn't bother voting until #305. i didn't even vocalize suspicions until #204. How can you see this as being scum!me when it is so different from "try to confuse everyone with wild claims from the very start!Micro"? You know better. You know you know better. So does scene, if he wasn't scum. In fact, I think *ANYONE* from that game would notice the difference.

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gogtrial34987: *looks in*
Yay for town doing way more damage to ourselves than mafia is capable of. The day frustrates, but the results of these nights amuse me!
Going to be catching up now.

FYI: Real life is making me be much less present than I'd prefer to be. Keeping a close eye to see how bad it gets (nothing truly bad irl - just a lot of it to deal with); I really hope I can avoid having to ask for a replacement.
1) Why "amuse"? this seems like an odd word. Sadden--that we took the wrong guy to lunch is one thing. Joy that all town survived is another. Why "amuse"?
I hope life is better soon. You could always ask for a sub for that? :O

Other stuff, which I will huh. at, but not enough to comment on with "unique" comments.

Huh.
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gogtrial34987: *looks in*
Yay for town doing way more damage to ourselves than mafia is capable of. The day frustrates, but the results of these nights amuse me!
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Microfish_1: 1) Why "amuse"? this seems like an odd word. Sadden--that we took the wrong guy to lunch is one thing. Joy that all town survived is another. Why "amuse"?
Amused because mafia must be soooo frustrated right now; first they (presumably) kill the SK and lose one of their number, then they (presumably) fail to kill. Most ineffective mafia team ever. I don't think we could've gotten better outcomes out of these first two nights. How could that not amuse you? (Particularly in contrast with the frustration of being quite convinced of GR being town and yet not being able to sway anyone in order to prevent his mislynch.)

(Also, yep, still liking you for suspecting / questioning me!)