gogtrial34987: And except for the Vigilante. So only the Doctor and the Roleblocker go from 1 full role to 1 full role + 1 1-shot.
Not that that matters, as I was talking about scenarios where town was getting two additional PR rolls (of course, I confused matters by saying "town gets an additional power" instead of "town gets additional power"). [...]
You're right, it doesn't matter, as you somehow (conveniently?) skipped my actual question on all this theorising.
gogtrial34987: [...] Both Bookwyrm and Vitek have concurred that we're strictly worse for town than regular lovers, which was also the feeling that Joe and me had early on. One kill removes two town players, instead of it needing two kills. [...]
Wait, are you saying that you're not
regular Lovers? (just kidding, I saw your EBWOP)
Weren't you the one that laid out to mchack how a Masons claim is typically/generally a policy lynch? Let me check that... yep, you were (post #783). Now, JoeSapphire said something about stray bullets, but NKs are not exactly stray shots, are they?
gogtrial34987: [...] Agreed. But before you seemed to be arguing that Lovers aren't worse than Masons, and now you're saying that the marginal utility of the day-chat doesn't balance out the [implied] loss of town power from Lovers. So I'm left somewhat confused what you were aiming for here. Would you care to clarify? [...]
I will once you've answered my question from post #925 that you skipped.
gogtrial34987: [...] Well, I also think I spotted a breadcrumb at some point during the game. Could very easily be nothing (Joe thinks it isn't a breadcrumb), and I certainly won't point to this, as I have a hard enough time figuring out how to play my own role well, let alone trying to second guess if this PR should reveal. [...]
If I were a very cynical person, I'd might be inclined to read some subtle fishing here...
gogtrial34987: [...] Thanks. So would you say that your lack of vote on scene is indicative of you being town? [...]
I thought that the reference to Vitek's bus routes is a dead give away, but looks like I should have added a /S /jk disclaimer.
If you still want me to answer this question seriously, let me know.
gogtrial34987: [...] He also reiterated it in this game. Does this mean you doubt his statement? [...]
Why would you immediately think that my comment expresses doubt about his statement? I know that scum!trentonlf's very cool, so I can quite easily see him do what he said if it'd make him look more townie, I just haven't. Yet.
gogtrial34987: [...] that just doesn't make a whole lot of sense. [...]
It doesn't? Heh.
gogtrial34987: [...] Everyone who voted determined the timing. [...]
While partially true, nice skipping everything else I said about your EoD3, thanks.
gogtrial34987: [...] Because one minute later, Joe would claim, and I knew that conversation would be needing my attention? [...]
That's part of my argument, so... exactly.
gogtrial34987: [...] Please reference where you get the impression from that Bookwyrm's day ending behaviour didn't affect my read of him? It most certainly did. [...]
Your post #723 begs to differ [emphasis added]
gogtrial34987: [...] I don't have Bookwyrm's experience to see mchack's claim as a certain fakeclaim, but
I'm pretty strongly townreading him (despite HSL planting some seeds of doubt), so
I'm weighing that certainty pretty heavily. [...]
If it
most certainly did, then I have to wonder how much more strongly you were town-reading Bookwyrm627, and for what.
gogtrial34987: [...] If you flip town, what will that tell us? [...]
I already said what my flip will tell you. Unless you're asking me something else in which case, elaborate?
gogtrial34987: [...] HSL is still obviously trying to solve the game; [...]
Why wouldn't I? In spite what you all seem to have concluded/decided, my win condition isn't [interpolated] "kill all the town!" And with "all" I mean all the town, of course; the mafia obviously knows, and has had the town dance to their tune for Days now.
gogtrial34987: [...] However, that also means that I haven't been paying attention to who all
has been pushing the argument, and this just startled me into realizing it might be a significant pointer, particularly if you do get lynched and actually flip town. You mention Vitek and SPF. Anyone else? (If you have post numbers, I'd appreciate them.) [...]
If you haven't been paying attention to what arguments people make for their preferred lynches, what are you looking at when go back, and reread and check?
Bookwyrm627 used it too, but he's a smart and cunning cookie, so hasn't been hammering it. He was, however, the very first to bring it up D3 (post #552). Then mchack joined in, followed by SirPrimalform.
SirPrimalform should be the easiest, just ISO him, practically all of his D3 posts to me are about this.
Vitek's been hammering it in all his D4 posts when referring to me.
gogtrial34987: [...] Ok, so just the most and least scummy out of Bookwyrm/trent/Vitek?
I'm going to give my reads on all three of them. Why are you so interested in getting an answer to this?
*** *** ***
And while nobody seems to care, I did run the numbers, so if I didn't screw up somewhere:
- Lovers claim is false -
We're obviously not going to lynch one of them Today because of the risk of it being true after all.
This means a certain mislynch on D4, and LyLo on D5.
- Lovers claim is true -
We're again obviously not going to lynch one of them Today.
If we mislynch on D4, we're either at LyLo or MyLo on D5, depending on how the mafia want/decide to play it (go for the double-kill, or try and get us to mislynch them on D5 on the basis they survived N4).
Whatever the case, Tomorrow is most likely our last chance to put the noose around a scum neck, so the town lot better get their act together.
Reads will have to wait until tomorrow; it's gotten pretty late, and I want to cross-check a couple of things.