ZFR: Is ending the day on a Sunday a good idea? If yes, D3 ends Sunday evening. If not, Monday evening.
I prefer Sunday over Monday.
Do the both of you have any thoughts about the HSL vs SPF back and forth?
Bookwyrm627: Lift, Post 499: My scenario was missing critical information because I hadn't seen the double post yet.
...
*shrug* I specifically said I'd only gotten to post 420. As far as my reading progress was concerned, the edit marker hadn't happened yet.
Just to confirm this explicitly: You were behind with reading, were going through the posts sequentially, not scanning ahead
at all (other than for confirming L-1), and then you
voted based on incomplete / outdated information?
gogtrial34987: Please clarify? Right now you're giving yourself a lot of leeway for finding something scummy in that post at a later point. Was it a specific interaction with someone else in there, was it that I made a catch up post at all, was it something I left out, or what?
Bookwyrm627: Part of it was an impression of laying out a story, as if scum had concocted a theory of events to try and get town to swallow (those last two lines (three sentences, last paragraph, whatever) stand out as an example). Coming right on the heels (in post order) of Mchack's push on Scene didn't help my impression of your post.
Ok, I can see how it could come over like that, yeah. A large part of that post
was me explicitly strengthening my case for lynching scene, as I was feeling pretty good about having found actual scum (and I was correct for once!)
If I recall correctly, mchack's post wasn't yet there when I opened the new reply window and took some time to add the final paragraphs, but I wouldn't be able to swear on it.
SirPrimalform: Which post, you mean his D2 vote? Pretty sure the mafia would have started D2 knowing they had to bus scene so I'm not sure that particularly exonerates him even if it doesn't damn him. His reluctance to vote for scene on D1 speaks more IMO, although not as loudly as HSL's outright refusal.
Bookwyrm627: In your mind, does this description of HSL fit anyone else?
After SPF has responded to this, I'd be interested to hear who
you were thinking of when you asked the question.
gogtrial34987: An initial look didn't show me any potential breadcrumbing from Lift in his D2 posts about his N1 result. In fact, he almost solely engaged with scene. in #496 he mentioned that posts #405/#406 were not necessarily alignment indicative, engaged a bit with Ixam, and fails to give a ringing endorsement to Vitek. In #499 he engages more extensively with Bookwyrm.
Vitek: Was this a quote editing failure, or did you intend to respond something to that bit of my #542?
Vitek: Random scene observations:
SS voted SPF right after HSL did at the last minutes of D1 while ahving no previous history of suspecting SPF (in fact said he is quite townee earlier). --> very big amount of town points for SPF no mafia goon should ever be trying to redirect lynch to their buddy from themselves
Given scene's other behaviour, do you feel that can be sufficiently relied upon?
Ixamyakxim: I like this post - like a lot.
Although I agree with you that there's a lot to like in Vitek's post, I dislike that post of yours - like a lot!
Multiple people have been directing questions your way for a Day and a half now, and you're once again blithely ignoring them all. Could you please start treating this as a team game, where you're giving your fellow players something solid to work with?
I'm having to stop myself from giving mchack town points for your vote on him, as I actually agree that the way he jumped onto the scene wagon is a possible scum sign. (You know who also got my attention for that? You!)
trentonlf: Seeing as how he really suspected Poppy on Day 1 and Vitek was really reserved after replacing her I think there's a good chance he investigated Vitek. To me this reads as him clearing Vitek. Anyone else see that as well?
I mentioned that bit in my
#542 as "fails to give a ringing endorsement to Vitek". That is, I didn't read it as breadcrumbing; my expectation was that he'd have been more positive if he'd 'town-cleared' (modulo godfather / investigation immune SK) Vitek.
Bookwyrm627: -I'm generally reading Gogtrial as town. She(?) appears to actually be trying to solve the game.
He.
gogtrial34987: Are you content with how swiftly the day ended? Would you in retrospect have wanted it to go on for longer? Or for it to be finished even more swiftly?
Why?
mchack: More swiftly would've been nice. Maybe they wouldn't have caught lift then (but if it really was that interaction with HSL about cops that gave him away, it would have had to be a very, very short day)
Definitely not longer, else (as bookwyrm put it) someone might've gotten cold feet, and maybe scum would've been able to move us to no-lynch or mis-lynch yet. it's only few scum, if we have one by the balls I say lynch as quickly as possible and don't get sidetracked or wait for it to miraculously sort itself out. scum doesn't usually sort itself out.)
I disagree quite a bit (we need to play to win the war, which we do by drawing connections for which every bit of input helps - lynching as swiftly as possible just allows us to win a single fight, but deprives us of information), but all the same I can't see this answer as AI.
Vitek: Also there is also very high probability of godfather, right? So I guess it wouldn't matter much anyway.
Three out of five possible scenarios for scum disposition include one, but they're the lower probability scenarios, so probably a bit less than 50% chance-ish? Maybe someone with statistics knowledge can explain actual probabilities, though I figure we should just operate on the worst case scenario.