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agentcarr16: Why the frog would I throw myself in the limelight to try and get you in particular lynched?!? This is the worst time of the game to generically push wagons.

As I pointed out above, Joe confirming your knowledge of his role doesn't mean you're Town.

BTW, my vote on you wasn't OMGUS, but it was "calculated and with firm reason." Namecalling shouldn't get you anywhere, though apparently it is.
And if I'm scum, why would the other scum bounce the attack on me while I'm jailed?
Do you see the problem? Did you even bother reading the thread or the discussions surrounding this very issue?

Your sole reason for voting me is the role I revealed myself with no votes? Using your own logic why you can't be scum, why would I come out and claim role cop and draw attention to myself? I could have made up a story about being a Flavor Cop and getting an ice cream result which wouldn't point such a target on my back. Or I visited Joe as a Tracker and he didn't go anywhere. But both these arguments are full of WIFOM, more so when one is using it to defend oneself...
I FORGOT BLOTUNGA AGAIN

I counted ZFR as alive

So there are max 4 places for scum's target pool not 3, which changes the dynamic of the mass claim so much.

I'm an idiot

sh
ame on you all for not noticing!
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agentcarr16: Why the frog would I throw myself in the limelight to try and get you in particular lynched?!? This is the worst time of the game to generically push wagons.

As I pointed out above, Joe confirming your knowledge of his role doesn't mean you're Town.

BTW, my vote on you wasn't OMGUS, but it was "calculated and with firm reason." Namecalling shouldn't get you anywhere, though apparently it is.
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RWarehall: And if I'm scum, why would the other scum bounce the attack on me while I'm jailed?
Do you see the problem? Did you even bother reading the thread or the discussions surrounding this very issue?

Your sole reason for voting me is the role I revealed myself with no votes? Using your own logic why you can't be scum, why would I come out and claim role cop and draw attention to myself? I could have made up a story about being a Flavor Cop and getting an ice cream result which wouldn't point such a target on my back. Or I visited Joe as a Tracker and he didn't go anywhere. But both these arguments are full of WIFOM, more so when one is using it to defend oneself...
Because the other scum didn't submit the kill, you did. I don't believe it's a problem.

You're right, it's pretty wifom. I still think you're our best lead, though. My apologies if I'm getting too aggressive.
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RWarehall: Using your own logic why you can't be scum, why would I come out and claim role cop and draw attention to myself?
Would you risk the lie? There might be a town rolecop, or some other information that would contradict you.


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RWarehall: Joe, you are asking what reactions I was watching and gauging...it's simple. I know I'm Town. No NK occurred so its most probably because I was the target outside some remote chance some other unknown role blocked the kill. I was looking for who might be trying to spin this to get Town to finish the job for them. And we have Agent "conveniently ignoring" the likelihood I was the target and protected with Blotunga who pushed the same for a bit before backing away.
Actually, neither blotunga nor carr ignored the likelihood that dedo's target was protected. See below:

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agentcarr16: Night 2

No kill. RFG is dead, so Scum's kill was protected against or prevented. It is possible that dedo blocked Scum, thus the kill didn't get through.
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dedoporno: It's also possible I saved the targeted Town. You seem to be discarding that scenario altogether. How so?
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agentcarr16: It depends on who it was that you blocked. Note the "inclined".
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blotunga: I don't think there are lots of buletproof townies so tonight's kill was likely prevented by dedo. We have a likely 50% chance of lynching scum if we lynch the jailee if all else fails (except ofc if the NK was stopped in some other way).
Interesting, no?


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JoeSapphire: Do you think I would? If I were scum, I had reason to keep ZFR alive (his stupid launch of GameRager's wagon, his seemed connection with Lifthrasil, I also reason to argue why ZFR shouldn't be killed (twice in a row day 1 is mean), and. Would I have gone for ZFR just so I could argue WIFOM, do you think?
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Lifthrasil: Yes. Considering that you pointed out the very next day that you wouldn't have killed ZFR (and thereby implying that you can't be scum), I think it is possible that this contributed to your decision. That you reasoned that no one would connect you to a ZFR kill and that he would therefore be a good target. ... And the reason to leave ZFR alive because of his part in GR's wagon was valid for all possible scum, not only you. Didn't stop them (or you) from killing him.
But I was clever enough to think about it. I'm assuming scum... well... I'm assuming scum didn't think ZFR was as lynchable as I did.

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JoeSapphire: I just thought - you mentioned before that Joe-confirming-RW's-action gives RW town points, but should it? He maybe deserves some 'not stupid points', in the same way that Joe-not-lying-about-his-role-to-counter-RW should only give him 'not-a-total-idiot' points.
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Lifthrasil: Well, it is true that scum would not have lied about an investigation result. However, RW can't have investigated you and killed ZWR at the same time. He could still be part of a two-player scum-team, of course. But I am with dedo that scum should be powerless if they are two. Why do you disagree on that? You have only written that you do, but haven't explained why.
I disagree that the ONLY people without power are scum. I disagree with that because I am town vanilla, which goes NO SHORT DISTANCE to disprove that theory.

Do I think the mafia team must both be vanilla? It kinda makes sense, but a serial killer is a threat to mafia as well as town so it wouldn't be particularly fair on the mafia either. We don't know what Trent has put together so let's not make assumptions.


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dedoporno: @Agent, are you fine going first of it's decided that the mass claiming is happening?
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agentcarr16: I'm quite happy to go first. I have no need to "manufacture a claim". I'm willing to claim whether or not a mass claim is decided upon. My role gets perhaps even stronger once a mass claim has happened.

So do I claim?
I'm excited by Carr's seedlings and eagerness to claim and promise that his role will be useful. I'm inclined to keep his claim till later - as dedo points out he's already given himself less room to improvise than the others.

That's IF we want a claim to happen. But if Carr's set on claiming anyway I think it makes sense for everybody to.

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JoeSapphire: ^This doesn't sense... do it?
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dedoporno: Of course it does. For the sake of discussion let's assume that the SK and the lone Kitsune are exactly the same, but one is a Serial Killer while the other is Mafia whatever. Other than that, power-wise, they are exactly the same thing. Everyone knows the Kitsune exist, no one knows the Serial Killer exists until that it becomes obvious. Don't you think the hidden guy has a bit of an edge over his counterpart, regardless how small or short-lived it might be?
If we were looking for physical signs of a kitsune (sharp teeth, long tail, blood round the mouth etc.) then yes I'd say a non-kitsune has an advantage, but seeing as we're looking for forum-behaviour signs of a kitsune (trying to go unnoticed, directing a lynch onto people dangerous for it, killing at night, co-operation with a partner etc.) I don't see how they would be distinguishable from a serial killer... :/


Regarding RW:
He's making the argument "Why would I claim Role Cop when I didn't need to?"

Well why did he? He started arguing with pooka after his claim that the less the scum knew about his role, the better. He drew little conclusion from his investigation of me, so it wasn't particularly worth sharing - in fact if he'd have kept it to himself he held on to the possibilty that he could counter-claim me later on if I tried to lie about a role...


Also -
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RWarehall: I can confirm I was jailed. My door was locked and I was unable to leave my room.
which maybe implies that RW was trying to leave his room... not that I should read too much into the flavour.

Wouldn't it be great if I'd made up that thing about Trent including flavour for blocked people even if they're not using powers? But I didn't. Does anybody who knows of older games of Trent's fancy seeing if he's ever NOT included flavour for a blocked character who's not actioning?
Damn. Gog ate my post again. I'll break it down into smaller posts.

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agentcarr16: Weren't you the one who pointed out that role cop is more often Scum than Town? Why does RW knowing that Joe is vanilla mean that RW is Town?
It doesn't. But it means that he didn't perform the kill on N1, at least if we assume that there is only one scum left. Which would clear him. A part of our discussion which you conveniently ignore.

RW is your top pick, which is fine, him being role-cop and having been jailed. But you seem to be so sure that there are two scum left, that you don't even consider the other options. Why is that? Do you perhaps KNOW that there are two scum left? Or do you just want RW to be lynched, without considering the alternative that he might have been the target? Again, why are you so sure that he wasn't?

My main 'beef' with you is, that you seem awfully sure of yourself. You didn't seem to doubt yourself, you didn't weigh different scenarios against each other, you just picked one scenario that suited you best and ran with it. And that seems scummy.
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JoeSapphire: If we were looking for physical signs of a kitsune (sharp teeth, long tail, blood round the mouth etc.) then yes I'd say a non-kitsune has an advantage, but seeing as we're looking for forum-behaviour signs of a kitsune (trying to go unnoticed, directing a lynch onto people dangerous for it, killing at night, co-operation with a partner etc.) I don't see how they would be distinguishable from a serial killer... :/
That's not what I mean. The SK knows there's mafia around so he can genuinly scumhunt for the until they are all gone and appear Town in the process. Mafia don't know that the SK is in the game so they have to fake the scumhunting. More often than not fake scumhinting isn't as good as the real deal and could get detected a lot easier. That's why being hidden gives you that extra edge.


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JoeSapphire: Wouldn't it be great if I'd made up that thing about Trent including flavour for blocked people even if they're not using powers? But I didn't. Does anybody who knows of older games of Trent's fancy seeing if he's ever NOT included flavour for a blocked character who's not actioning?
Yog is the only host that was supplying Night flavor to everyone, regardless of whether they have an action or not, as far as I remember.

But that's a good catch. Finding out the door was locked does seem to imply an attempt to get out as it comes as morning report rather than preemptive warning. I found out I couldn't find my tools prior the start of the Day as a result of me trying to jail RFG.


By the way, does someone know how much time we have left?

I'm still unsure about the mass claiming, but if most people think we should I won't fight it.


Pre-post edit:

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Lifthrasil: It doesn't. But it means that he didn't perform the kill on N1, at least if we assume that there is only one scum left. Which would clear him. A part of our discussion which you conveniently ignore.
It's dangerous to make that assumption. I thought you agreed on that. Do you still prefer that as your working theory?
Damn. Another post lost. I'll reply in detail tonight when I'm home.

Only a short reply:
@dedo: no. That's not the point. I am agree that it would be dangerous to be sure of the one-scum theory. I was just wondering why agent is so damn sure of the opposite. Only scum can be sure of the number of scum. But he seems to ignore everything that doesn't fit his preconception (or knowledge)

More later. I don't want to risk ending up in the next net-hole and losing another post. Posting from mobile sucks!
Let's see...about mass claims, who have yet to claim?
- Lift
-blotunga
- Pooka

Who has claimed?
- Agent (a role)
- RW (role cop)
- Joe (vanilla)
- dedo (jailer)

From this vantage point, scum might want to kill Agent (who has yet to release any info) or one of the three who haven't claimed in the hopes they hit a power role. So I'd like Agent to come out and claim, and that being it for Today. We can worry about mass claims later. I know Agent has said his role would be stronger once a mass claims happen, but it is a risky proposition if he is Town...

...gets stronger if a mass claims happen...

OK. I can only guess that the information Agent has is related to Lift, blotunga and/or myself. Though I fail to see how RW fits into the picture considering agent is voting him and not any of the aforementioned three, and he did say that he has info saying something fishy is going on.

Now let's quickly answer some points that were directed to me:


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Lifthrasil: No. I refuse to believe that. A third killing role? Highly unlikely!
Off-topic: I'm curious how does GOG eat your posts? I think you should be copying whatever you wrote down before hitting the post button just to be on the safe side. I have been bitten several times in the butt from this kind of thing and copying the post beforehand (or even keeping it in a Notepad window) saves me.

Of the revealed roles, only the Cop was infinite use. Everything else is 1-shot: so it is not unlikely that a 3rd killing role exists but as a 1-shot.

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JoeSapphire: Are the only two that haven't softclaimed at all (gate or no gate)
With the gate you heretic!

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JoeSapphire: Pay more attention. I don't like to be ignored.
Will try again. Speaking of, interesting find with the way you read RW's block reason. Comparing his reason with Bookwyrm's in Disney To The Rescue???, Bookwyrm was basically "oww, my head" when waking up, while RW was "why is the door shut?!" Both are trentonlf flavors and the aforementioned game was #58 and this is #63.

This, combined with what h said earlier about his role, does give credence to him being more than just one-shot role cop.
Since we are moving in circles and I have no better ideas, i think we can force agent's hand. I find that at this point RW has more cred.

Can we have a votecount, I follow the game a bit scarcely and wouldn't want to accidentally hammer or something (though I don't think I saw any new votes for ages). I think we can hold off the mass claims until tomorrow, first let's untangle the agent mistery.
I don't like Agent's reasoning about how calculated and well considered his vote was. How he carefully considered all possibilities, would not possibly have exposed himself this way after trying to use the excuse he has had only 15 minutes a day to spend on the game...

If you were really Town, I'd expect you to fess up that because of the holidays you are having trouble keeping up. Instead you are trying to double down. I find I'm generally reluctant to vote because there is always doubt. Sometimes everyone looks scummy. But it's a different game for scum knowing exactly who not to lynch. I don't find dropping a vote starting a wagon, especially with an important question on the table consistent with being Town and only having 15 minutes to spend on the game.

As to mass claims, I don't like them in general except on the last day, MyLo or LyLo. Early claims are made to provide useful and necessary information to Town that one doesn't want dying with them. Lest we start mass claiming day 1 so we can randomly lynch all the Vanilla or duplicate role claims and turn this into less a game of deduction and more a test of the mod's setup. I think that is why almost every mod has started to throw in a lot of roles that can work for either faction and cross them up a bit just to throw us off if we try to use mass claiming to win the game.

Similarly, I don't think Agent should be claiming unless the votes are there to demand he claim and ask for his last words. Unless his information is valuable enough to share and needs to be revealed anyway. If he investigated someone in some way and it's pertinent and useful, he should share it. I don't see how demanding a mass claim is the only way that becomes valuable. If that person or persons needs to respond, they will have to. But why should Town be putting all our cards on the table like that? The only thing scum doesn't know is who can do what and this opens up a shooting gallery on the most important PRs we have left.
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PookaMustard: From this vantage point, scum might want to kill Agent (who has yet to release any info) or one of the three who haven't claimed in the hopes they hit a power role. So I'd like Agent to come out and claim, and that being it for Today. We can worry about mass claims later. I know Agent has said his role would be stronger once a mass claims happen, but it is a risky proposition if he is Town...
Huh?
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Lifthrasil: But you seem to be so sure that there are two scum left, that you don't even consider the other options. Why is that? Do you perhaps KNOW that there are two scum left? Or do you just want RW to be lynched, without considering the alternative that he might have been the target? Again, why are you so sure that he wasn't?
When have I said that there's only one scum left? I think RW is our best chance of hitting scum. It'd be bad tactics to ignore him.


@RW - lolwut...?

1. I live in Canada. We haven't had any holidays this game.

2. Since when do scum like starting wagons when everyone else disagrees with them?

3. That's really scummy. Yeah, let's wait until someone is at L-1 with deadline approaching for him to claim. That way we definitely have time to decide if his claim is worthwhile and whether or not we should find a different lynch.

Geez, I'm willing to lynch you on the strength of that post alone.


If no one has spoken out strongly against it, I'll claim in approximately 18 hours realtime.
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agentcarr16: If no one has spoken out strongly against it, I'll claim in approximately 18 hours realtime.
Why? Why 18 hours? If you have decided you're going to claim anyway why are you going to wait that long? So we can get closer to the deadline? That way'll we'll definitely have time to decide if your claim is worthwhile and whether or not we should find a different lynch.
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agentcarr16: If no one has spoken out strongly against it, I'll claim in approximately 18 hours realtime.
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dedoporno: Why? Why 18 hours? If you have decided you're going to claim anyway why are you going to wait that long? So we can get closer to the deadline? That way'll we'll definitely have time to decide if your claim is worthwhile and whether or not we should find a different lynch.
Because people seem undecided whether I should claim or not and I can't promise I'll be online between now and then.
The weekend is upon us vote count


Being Voted ------------------------------------------------Voted by
RWarehall---------------------------------------------------Agent (Post 519)
agent----------------------------------------------------------RWarehall (post 522), Lift (post 542)

closest to lynch is agent at L-2

I will end the day sometime Monday or Tuesday evening my time in the US