gogtrial34987: Btw, given your history with always reading trent the opposite of his true alignment, and him starting off the game interacting (and agreeing!) with you quite a bit, do you have an early read for him?
nope but any time he doesn't ping me as scummy makes me wary of him, but I know better than to form a read off of that at this point
HypersomniacLive: 1st pair: Since scum have day chat, breaking up pairs of players in the same timezone was something I took into account. GammaEmerald is an unknown, to us, player but who knows and has played with drealmer7, so I chose to break them up.
GammaEmerald: We do have similar active hours, from my SHORT time with drealmerz in Flip Flop.
my active hours shift all of the time lately because of having trouble sleeping (anxiety)
I sleep when I can sleep, I slept a lot of yesterday
so adalia goes from this:
adaliabooks: Woo, someone picked me!
Yeah, I agree the matrix and picks are of limited use, but they are more useful out in the open. Basically it's handy to look at a pair and know they can't possibly be scum, as it limits the conspiracy theories and doubts.
So far drealmer and gamma are the most suspicious for not wanting to share picks, but we know they can't be team mates so it's one of them at best.
I'll have to look properly at the order of declared picks to see who claimed a duplicate as I think there is reason to suspect them (though only a little)
to this:
adaliabooks: Unfortunately the overlapping picks don't seem to be much use, Hyper comes off most suspicious for having two duplicates while only being the third pick, but as there are more people who chose duplicate pairs than not I don't think it really says much about any of them.
rather quickly
and then this:
GammaEmerald: Part of me feels unsettled by the fact Hyper put in explanations with his and he repeated people that came before him with both picks.
adaliabooks: I have to say this concerned me a little too. Not sure what to make of it really...
are you scum with HSL?
GammaEmerald: As for the purpose in this game, it would necessarily serve any purpose THIS game, but it would help with game theory for this setup.
Part of me feels unsettled by the fact Hyper put in explanations with his and he repeated people that came before him with both picks.
that's pretty scummy!!! you know and we all know that this is the game that matters and each game you should be dedicated to your wincon not mafiatheory exploration
I'm very unsettled that HSL has repeat claims as the 3rd claimer, and his reasons for picking them seem like they were typed out hastily rather than what I'd figure HSL to give us (something more 1.) elaborate and 2.) pointed.) - like he wanted to do it as fast as possible to try and seem less suspicious intentionally
Lifthrasil: Yes. I noticed you all skipped RVS.
unvote drealmer7 ...but I don't have any non-RVS suspect yet. Sure, duplicates in pair selection might be scum trying not to give us any more information than we already have. But statistics dictates that there will be some duplicates. So this is nothing strong. But the pairings made public is useful in one respect: As soon as we get one scum, all players that were in an excluded pairing with him are automatically certified town. So it will be very useful to find the second scum.
whoawhoawhoawhoa
this is all you have for us up to this point?!?! and it is just repetition / stating the obvious from what has already been said/deduced! hugepings from lift, I want more from him at this point...a lot more, as it sounds like he's just playing it safe/reserved
HypersomniacLive: Let me see if I got everything straight.
In a game setup where we, as town, need more than ever to work together to weed out scum, you, allegedly as town, chose to suggest something, not having town's best interest in mind but as an experiment to compare two different approaches to this setup because it would help with game theory for said setup.
ahhh, HSL, twisting things into more scumminess than they really are, how comforting!
in your opinion it doesn't have town's best interest - in gamma's argument, he says it doesn't NECESSARILY, and goes on to explain why HE'S NOT CERTAIN and hence the experiment in the first place - you're acting as if he's already performed the experiment he was desiring and should have come to the same conclusion you did about what is best
HypersomniacLive: You then go on to shed suspicion on me, trying to exploit the fact that my picks were repeats, and using against me the fact that I did the town thing and volunteered my thinking behind the choices I made. Because as town, the normal course would be to roll a die; absolutely no need to try and strategise a bit, or make the most possible out of this. Also, no need to get everyone on record early on as to why they made the choices they did.
shed suspicion, exploit, using against me - you're twisting what is going on to make it more severe than it was, as you do
HypersomniacLive: Do you think that as scum, and with day chat at my disposal, I'd reveal this early (third) and make both my pairs repeats of the two players that proceeded me? Do you think that I wouldn't have thought that out a bit better as to avoid getting under scrutiny this early on? Give me a little more credit than that.
YES and nice WIFOM there, and then adding the "give me alittle more credit than that" is some AtE rhetoric pushing it even more - scumposts galore from HSL, but, he's like that as town too so...tempering the read
I can totally see you (or any number of us) doing exactly that as a valid strategy, that you try to argue that it wouldn't be a good, usable, workable one, is suspect
Hunter65536: My initial reaction as well but then he posted very quickly within span of 10 minutes after my pick reveal post so I think it is less likely he could frame the reasons as well in such short time, could be mistaken though.
I think he could very well frame reasons, especially if he thought about it ahead of time (at least on an individual player basis), and it'd be no sweat for him to do what he did in a span of 10 minutes, at all, and I get the sense that is possible he did rush it a bit given how he did it (they just don't seem like normal HSL sentences or phrasings to me), and the only reason to rush would be to "get in to look less suspicious" and only scum would care about that.
Lifthrasil: drealmer, however, seems to be trying too hard to make HSL scum. And RW.
I'm trying too hard? where exactly does it look like I'm "trying hard" - I'm just pointing out things like I do that strike me to point out, and I always come off as pushing someone as scum than I intend to - I don't have a confident SR/scumlean on anyone at this point
Lifthrasil: Being at odd so obviously that no one thinks of them as pair?
Hunter65536: Highly unlikely so early into the game, since that would draw attention to them both and also it doesn't put them any closer to win.
I disagree. It's never too early to associate with a scumbuddy to start building the WIFOM.
RWarehall: Actually, given that there was quite a bit of discussion of scum duplicating picks to their advantage and that one extra pairing isn't so significant, I'm inclined to put a little more scrutiny on those who didn't duplicate which puts Trent, Hunter, Adalia and Gamma on the watch list.
But I am curious, how many duplicates should be expected. I'll get back to you on that.
PING
this just sounds to me like you're making sure to leave the door open to SR ppl who didn't duplicate or to steer ppl away from those that have duplicates
RWarehall: But it is far enough over the average of 4 that I'm not sure my idea that scum might lie to avoid dups seems a reasonable hypothesis.
uhhuh...
so you're saying a bunch of nothing that isnot helpful...thanks!