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bler144: Call me a cynic, but my guess is that you've actually written two big pre-written posts. One for if he flips town, and one for if he flips scum.
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yogsloth: My intention - if possible - is to post it post-hammer, pre-flip.

So no. There's only one.
Eh, time will tell I guess. Hard to tell if timing may play in your favor with the holiday. My guess is drealmer votes Leonard after his read-through, and then Hijack hammers tonight/tomorrow.

There is more than one way to skin a cat, however. And maybe I've been working on the wrong pressure point.

@Trent - so, why do you think yogs is so certain you're scum?
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bler144: Eh, time will tell I guess. Hard to tell if timing may play in your favor with the holiday. My guess is drealmer votes Leonard after his read-through, and then Hijack hammers tonight/tomorrow.
My guess is that is not what will happen.
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bler144: Eh, time will tell I guess. Hard to tell if timing may play in your favor with the holiday. My guess is drealmer votes Leonard after his read-through, and then Hijack hammers tonight/tomorrow.
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yogsloth: My guess is that is not what will happen.
Want to hear my paranoid theory?
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yogsloth: My guess is that is not what will happen.
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bler144: Want to hear my paranoid theory?
Oh.

Yes.

Do.

But should we wait for after the hammer?
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bler144: Want to hear my paranoid theory?
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yogsloth: Oh.

Yes.

Do.

But should we wait for after the hammer?
Well, it addresses why I'm leery of waiting for the hammer to open your magical box of knowledge.
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bler144: Well, it addresses why I'm leery of waiting for the hammer to open your magical box of knowledge.
I tried that pickup line once. Something like that, anyway.

Counted the gold coins all night.
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bler144: As for 'sure lynch tomorrow' I think that's optimistic. Assuming lynch + NK tomorrow takes 6 to lynch. He seems to have Kryp/Ix and maybe dedo in his corner, and drealmer is seemingly out of commission.
I'm giving yog the benefit of the doubt just because I'm quite comfortable with the alternative wagon. If it was someone else I would have probably been more aligned with your position. I, too, want to see what his "grand" reveal is but and I prefer to not risk taking off it's potential value. If he fails to deliver (or I'm not content with what this all ends up being) "his corner" is most likely the last place I'll be in.
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bler144: Well, it addresses why I'm leery of waiting for the hammer to open your magical box of knowledge.
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yogsloth: I tried that pickup line once. Something like that, anyway.

Counted the gold coins all night.
lol.

Ok, here's the 20-cent version. Among the questions I was trying to answer were:

1) How did yogs predict the no-flip?
2) when the no-flip happened, how was he zeroed in on Trent?
3) Why is he stalling to claim until after Leonard flips? which is odd in several ways

Where I've come down is... either you're the counter to Trent (though that would seem to mean you were lying in your soft-claim, way back), or you and Trent ARE the same. It would explain why you're both voting the same as well - both trying to look innocuous, at least until Trent's odd hammer.

Which would fit if both jailers are also the same. Two parallel scum teams.

One of your teams had P1na, and it looks like Trent's. So you know with pretty high certainty (beyond his play) Leonard is going to flip scum, and you probably also know Trent will flip. Voila, you have cred and cover while you search for a hidden 4th scum on one team, even though it was really 3v3 all along.

So the danger, as I see it, is that we spend the next two days polishing off Trent's team (trent/Leonard/P1na), while yours runs at full strength, since yours is you/Ix/??. You push wyrm/dedo whoever as the alternate hidden scum (if i'm reading you right, you're already trying to put me on wyrm) and you really only need what, 1 day of MYLO to have it in the bag?

How close is that?
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Leonard03: Ok. But since you don't want to post that until after the lynch, bler's (and now me) are wondering if you could post something now.
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yogsloth: It's really not all about me and what farts I smell in the wind all the time, you know.
No. But when you dangle information in front of our noses, and then say "I tell ya later!"...


Also, appears I failed twice to upload #14. Here it is.
Attachments:
img_0139.jpg (195 Kb)
EBWOP - first question was how you predicted the bizarro flip, not the no-flip. JMich's no-flip could have been predicted if you were coroner, but I think it's pretty clear at this point that's not what you are.
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yogsloth: It's really not all about me and what farts I smell in the wind all the time, you know.
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Leonard03: No. But when you dangle information in front of our noses, and then say "I tell ya later!"...

Also, appears I failed twice to upload #14. Here it is.
Ix! That one was a little harder.

That just leaves you and Cristi, our token female, right?
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bler144: How close is that?
Oh bler, what shall I tell you? What answer could I give, other than "not very"?

You're going to be so disappointed.
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yogsloth: You're going to be so disappointed.
More disappointed than last game? Zing! Anyway, "I have him now! He's surely going to just confess!" was not in my thought process.

I'm making an argument perhaps others will take seriously at least enough to make you put your cards on the table D3, even if we are still going to lynch Leonard, and if not, for why they shouldn't let you skate if Leonard/Trent do flip scum.

And whether I'm still alive at that point or not.
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bler144: I'm making an argument perhaps others will take seriously at least enough to make you put your cards on the table D3, even if we are still going to lynch Leonard, and if not, for why they shouldn't let you skate if Leonard/Trent do flip scum.
That's your Day 4 agenda? That if I'm right, and both my top candidates are Scum, that everyone should still lynch me? That if we knock over four bad guys in a row, all of whom I pushed for, everyone should still lynch me?

Because I'm on The Scum Team Who Don't Do Anything.

Where does adalia fit into your theory, then? Was he really the Neutral Flying Pumpkin Ginzu Knife Set that he claimed, then?
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yogsloth: That's your Day 4 agenda? That if I'm right, and both my top candidates are Scum, that everyone should still lynch me? That if we knock over four bad guys in a row, all of whom I pushed for, everyone should still lynch me?

Because I'm on The Scum Team Who Don't Do Anything.

Where does adalia fit into your theory, then? Was he really the Neutral Flying Pumpkin Ginzu Knife Set that he claimed, then?
Shouldn't the game end if we knock over 4 bad guys? Or are there two scum teams, and you know this without being on either one?
Also, my previous refrain of "How do you know Adalia was scum"?