A big reason I'm leaning against dessimu possibly being the CL is because to me it makes sense for the CL to try and make allies during the voting process on D1 and D2. What ally has dess made? Me, mostly. If I were not me and I were the CL and I wanted to try and gain some allies, I wouldn't ally with drealmer, no one likes that guy or listens to him or follows anything he says and by allying with him, I'm likely alienating myself from others more. I also wouldn't dream of recruiting drealmer if I were the CL, but then, maybe the CL is depending on everyone thinking that. Anyway, plus dess shares some simliar thoughts I do, which I agree could be fabricated to be in line with my thoughts to make it seem like he has beef with RW while not really just to get me on his side, but I think he could have/would have chosen much better players to do that with.
Bookwyrm627: Alright. Remind me of your plan for verification again, please.
JMich: D2 you say your N1 target, and we lynch them. If you are lying (thus either CL or the +1 cultist), tracker can expose you.
If your target flips town, you are either the deprogrammer or a CL who get extremely lucky and hit the deprogrammer's target. If your target flips cult, then you are the CL and we lynch you on D3.
Yes, this does mean that the tracker should be tracking you tonight.
You guys are making me nuts with this talk!
There are issues with all of this pretty much and a big hole too.
The things I'll say:
I am not just going to blindly lynch whoever wyrm says he deprogrammed, nor should anyone else be expected to. You are also going on the assumption that the tracker agrees with the "plan."
It's all just bad ideas, imo.
I really say we just let things unfold rather than openly plan and talk about them. If that is what wyrm wants to do, he'll do it, if not, he'll not. Whatever happens, we should talk about it and make our evaluations on it all then. As it is now, it's pointless.
okay, so...
In a standard 12 player mafia game worst case scenario is:
a.)
D1 - 9v3
D2 - 7v3
D3 - 5v3 - game over at night
in this game it is either:
b.)
D1 - 10v2
D2 - 8v3
D3 - 6v4 - game over at night
or
c.)
D1 - 11v1
D2 - 9v2
D3 - 7v3
D4 - 5v4 - game over end of day
For me, it is impossible to say if it is b.) or c.) simply because of how a "normal" mafia game would go because of the different mechanics and the direction the numbers are going and all of it, but I am actually more inclined to think it is CL + 1, now. I should have done that little chart to start. With me thinking it more possible that the odds are a bit different, that slightly reduces the strength of the no-lynch idea for me, but, doesn't completely remove it from a viable option, imo, and RW's vehemence against it seems very odd to me.
With that, I start to try and look at who could be allies. At first, flub and RW struck me as possibly having some fabricated contention (I couldn't tell if it was real or not and the idea came to my mind while reading them, so must remain open to the possibility it was 2 cultists distancing themselves from each other), then I thought I "felt" some possible connection between RW and fantasysci5, but the real problem with any of that is that NOT enough people are talking enough. We need more back and forth between everyone, still (I know, it is D1), to really start to have that picture make more sense.
anyway, RW is the only one I see reason to vote for atm, while babark isn't participating as much as I'd like, the lurking hasn't offended me so much, yet, to want to vote him, and flub is doing his normal lurk thing, but the bits he has contributed have been weighty enough that I'm not inclined to vote him at all either.