Posted October 31, 2015
jamyskis: It's a safe bet that this generation is going to last a while. The leap in visual quality hasn't been anywhere near as pronounced as previous generations and I have a feeling that if a new Sony or Microsoft console comes any sooner than 10 years from now, upgrade fatigue is going to set in.
The biggest leap forward has been in increasing the resolution and thus the detail. Which might not sound like much, but it's the reason these games now take up a Blu-Ray, whereas the same game would have taken up one DVD last gen. True enough, if you're playing these games on a small screen then the difference is going to hardly register. But then who's playing a PS4 or Xbone game on a small screen?
You could therefore argue that the upgrade is a necessary one dictated not by how much better the PC was than the last gen consoles at the end of their shelf life, but by the ever increasing demand for bigger and more detailed TVs. Now there are 4K screens and already we're faced with a situation where neither of the current generation of consoles can handle a current gen TV's pixel depth.
In fact, the only reason for owning a 4K screen is if you've got a suitably powerful PC. So already we've got the beginnings of a situation where the current gen are lagging behind in precisely the way that necessitated the demise of the previous generation.
How long it's going to take Sony and Microsoft to upgrade is almost impossible to predict right now. You may well be right about it being a decade after the release of the current gen. But I wouldn't be surprised it someone else tried to take advantage of what could at some point between then and now become a recognised deficiency.