Posted March 16, 2011
I've done some more digging, and waving of teh science degree, and I've come up with the following conclusion:
The main problem in Fukushima is due to the reactor cores containing large quantities of radioactive material. The actual nuclear fission probably ceased immediately, so there are no new neutrons coming in and thus the reactor is no longer producing large amounts of energy. The radioactivity still produces energy but it is quite small compared to what comes out of the fission itself.
* The energy level of the radioactivity witnessed now will depend of the half-time of the material used. Today a very common material is Xenon-133 which has a half-time of about 5 days. If this is what's used, the energy production, and thus radiation, is already halved.
* The radiation levels that are reported for the Tokyo area are probably air radiation. However, we receive only a minute amount of total radiation from the air, so it is very unlikely that the air radiation itself is a significant concern. A more pressing concern would be buildings and food.
* In chernobyl the reactor flat out exploded while fully operational. The encapsulation was blown away, literally, and the radioactive material which included parts of the reactor core spread unchecked throughout the surrounding area. In Fukushima the reactors stopped after a short period, and the encapsulation seems to be relatively intact. Thus, even if the encapsulation should break, which is unlikely at this point, the radiation poisoning of the surrounding area will be virtually negligible compared to that of the chernobyl disaster.
As usual we can call bullshit on the world's media and conclude that there will be no nuclear catastrophe in Japan.
The main problem in Fukushima is due to the reactor cores containing large quantities of radioactive material. The actual nuclear fission probably ceased immediately, so there are no new neutrons coming in and thus the reactor is no longer producing large amounts of energy. The radioactivity still produces energy but it is quite small compared to what comes out of the fission itself.
* The energy level of the radioactivity witnessed now will depend of the half-time of the material used. Today a very common material is Xenon-133 which has a half-time of about 5 days. If this is what's used, the energy production, and thus radiation, is already halved.
* The radiation levels that are reported for the Tokyo area are probably air radiation. However, we receive only a minute amount of total radiation from the air, so it is very unlikely that the air radiation itself is a significant concern. A more pressing concern would be buildings and food.
* In chernobyl the reactor flat out exploded while fully operational. The encapsulation was blown away, literally, and the radioactive material which included parts of the reactor core spread unchecked throughout the surrounding area. In Fukushima the reactors stopped after a short period, and the encapsulation seems to be relatively intact. Thus, even if the encapsulation should break, which is unlikely at this point, the radiation poisoning of the surrounding area will be virtually negligible compared to that of the chernobyl disaster.
As usual we can call bullshit on the world's media and conclude that there will be no nuclear catastrophe in Japan.