Posted September 11, 2018
ZFR: While waiting on the other game to start, here is a theory question. This was after reading adalia's post in the observer thread regarding no-lynch.
Hypothesis: If the game is at MYLO, and the situtation is believed to be "normal", it should automatically be a policy no-lynch. A lynch should only be made if the situation is belived to be non-"normal".
"Normal" in this case is defined as a situation, where mafia can only make one NK in the night and there is no way for town to lose straight away (e.g. by NK plus SK).
Proof: By going no-lynch, then at worst the situation next day will be same, but with a smaller pool to choose from. Ergo, slightly better. At best, town would get additional info from town PRs, if any.
Discuss?
It depends, but yes. Hypothesis: If the game is at MYLO, and the situtation is believed to be "normal", it should automatically be a policy no-lynch. A lynch should only be made if the situation is belived to be non-"normal".
"Normal" in this case is defined as a situation, where mafia can only make one NK in the night and there is no way for town to lose straight away (e.g. by NK plus SK).
Proof: By going no-lynch, then at worst the situation next day will be same, but with a smaller pool to choose from. Ergo, slightly better. At best, town would get additional info from town PRs, if any.
Discuss?
If most people are confident that a certain player is scum it can be worth risking a lynch, but in the case seen in the last game where the town players were split it would have been better to No Lynch and let scum take out another player.
If scene had been killed off the other three would have lynched one of the scum.
If Vitek had been killed then scene would have had to reconsider his position and Lift would probably have been lynched.
If trent had died then it would be clear flub was lying as there was no reason he wouldn't have tried to protect him.
And Hunter couldn't have died, so it wouldn't have changed the situation beyond confirming him (or flub, but I think it may have called flub's claim into question a little) but it would also have allowed Vitek to visit scene as he'd planned, which may not have confirmed him if there was no NK but might have helped confirm his role at least.
I don't think there is any situation in mafia where you can say an action should be taken automatically, but No Lynch should definitely be considered in a situation like that.